TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb26a…48da

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NFL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST2744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jazz vs. Hornetsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$5,002Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$5,002.5
Timberwolves vs. Hornetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$599Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+108.9%+$651.5
Jazz vs. Sunsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$344.8
Lakers vs. Grizzliesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$493Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+114.7%+$565.35
Knicks vs. Bullsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$3,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,005.5
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$911Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$911
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+89.7%+$269.15
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,402Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+152.8%+$2,141.64
Heat vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$159.3
Warriors vs. Bucksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$390.5
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Cavaliers vs. Celticsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$407
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Hornets vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$324
76ers vs. Wizardsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,956Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+249.1%+$4,873.49
Trail Blazers vs. Lakersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$166.5
Suns vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$170.37
Hawks vs. Bullsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,504Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,503.82
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+93%+$128.57
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$112.18
Raptors vs. Mavericksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$152.5
Hornets vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$146.51
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$153
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+125.8%+$956.22
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,130Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,130.3
Rolex Paris Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverevbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$903Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$903
Rolex Paris Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Alex de Minaurbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$364.9
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Bublikbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$600.5
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Andrey Rublevbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$162
Rolex Paris Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,398Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+153.2%+$2,141.87
Rolex Paris Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Joao Fonsecabacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$162
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Rinderknech vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$154.55
Rolex Paris Masters: Daniel Altmaier vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,401Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,401
Rolex Paris Masters: Denis Shapovalov vs Joao Fonsecabacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,416Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+152.2%+$2,155
Rolex Paris Masters: Corentin Moutet vs Reilly Opelkabacked Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,014Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+196.7%+$3,962.74
Rolex Paris Masters: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+109%+$328.5
Rolex Paris Masters: Fabian Marozsan vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,038Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+188.7%+$1,958.3
Swiss Indoors Basel: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Joao Fonsecabacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.36
Erste Bank Open: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
All 16 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+23.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawaii vs. San Jose Statebacked San Jose State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,405Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+152.6%+$2,143.97
Georgia Tech vs. NC Statebacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$203.5
Oklahoma vs. Tennesseebacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$203.5
Washington State vs. Oregon Statebacked Washington State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$198
USC vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT+152.9%+$2,139.98
Delaware Blue Hens vs. Libertybacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$166.5
Army vs. Air Forcebacked Air Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,302Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,301.7
All 7 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Panthersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.03
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.