College Football · resolved market
Hawaii vs. San Jose State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe731604671dcc6a26992bcb54b4853b341cb69efb007394a9dbcb6312e43f37b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Jose Stateof Hawaii, San Jose State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $265,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $267,389
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $265,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Hawaii | 35c | 99,322$34,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,422.04 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed San Jose State | 55c | 38,501$21,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,359.07 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Hawaii | 45c | 12,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked San Jose State | 69c | 9,206$6,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,848.3 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed San Jose State | 65c | 6,631$4,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,337.71 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hawaii | 45c | 6,599$2,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,968.11 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Hawaii | 13c | 4,520$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.83 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Hawaii | 1c | 4,433$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Hawaii | 28c | 4,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed San Jose State | 75c | 3,735$2,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.53 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed San Jose State | 52c | 3,706$1,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.49 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb26a…48dabacked San Jose State | 40c | 3,549$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked San Jose State | 54c | 3,393$1,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.53 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Hawaii | 46c | 2,175$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.5 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hawaii | 19c | 2,128$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.68 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Hawaii | 13c | 2,096$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.33 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed San Jose State | 54c | 1,800$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.23 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Hawaii | 27c | 1,685$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Hawaii | 45c | 1,315$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.5 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb1…3007backed Hawaii | 10c | 1,280$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Hawaii | 30c | 1,280$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.78 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked San Jose State | 55c | 1,274$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.17 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3529…a599backed Hawaii | 66c | 1,136$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 62cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95dd…90ecbacked Hawaii | 25c | 1,019$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Hawaii | 45c | 1,001$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.42 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf8…a08abacked Hawaii | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cad…994fbacked San Jose State | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Hawaii | 12c | 746$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.84 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…8d57backed San Jose State | 72c | 683.03$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.25 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf0…c907backed San Jose State | 36c | 605.41$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +66%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd5…1306backed Hawaii | 22c | 599.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked San Jose State | 56c | 577.5$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.2 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…7b47backed Hawaii | 7c | 554.86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf854…7229backed Hawaii | 15c | 310.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Hawaii | 34c | 295$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Hawaii | 68c | 269$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.92 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe997…1922backed Hawaii | 8c | 238.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Hawaii | 45c | 238$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a8…81f5backed Hawaii | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Hawaii | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed San Jose State | 39c | 206.1$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.87 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e3…0b75backed San Jose State | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Hawaii | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Hawaii | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb52d…95ffbacked San Jose State | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Hawaii | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f6…b90cbacked Hawaii | 39c | 150$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.04 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…0837backed Hawaii | 18c | 146.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked San Jose State | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b2…ea62backed Hawaii | 30c | 134.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…dd42backed Hawaii | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…62c7backed Hawaii | 43c | 102$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Hawaii | 22c | 101.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Hawaii | 28c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Hawaii | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde0b…b4a7backed San Jose State | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2994…ed6bbacked Hawaii | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…80f7backed Hawaii | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee13…0ff0backed San Jose State | 53c | 93.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc757…f18cbacked San Jose State | 53c | 89.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed San Jose State | 53c | 77$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hawaii | 47c | 76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…a269backed Hawaii | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Hawaii | 17c | 66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Hawaii | 47c | 65.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf939…2e92backed Hawaii | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d89…3039backed Hawaii | 48c | 56.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ef…c541backed San Jose State | 53c | 54.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…4ab2backed San Jose State | 52c | 53.93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed San Jose State | 69c | 53.62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf35…b327backed Hawaii | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b7…f9e3backed San Jose State | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked San Jose State | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Hawaii | 45c | 46.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cc…18cebacked Hawaii | 68c | 45.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa43c…e0a1backed Hawaii | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2225…6f42backed San Jose State | 53c | 41.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f98…1a97backed Hawaii | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked Hawaii | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa18d…b16abacked San Jose State | 56c | 39.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +109.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x99f6…f838backed San Jose State | 55c | 38.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…0a46backed San Jose State | 56c | 35.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13eb…6cadbacked Hawaii | 47c | 34.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd297…b4e1backed San Jose State | 53c | 34.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc41e…8f19backed Hawaii | 48c | 33.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed San Jose State | 54c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…1956backed Hawaii | 46c | 32.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -10.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3be…b9dcbacked Hawaii | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Hawaii | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa7…e254backed San Jose State | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…4224backed Hawaii | 48c | 29.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed4…861bbacked San Jose State | 53c | 29.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Hawaii | 44c | 29.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2f…d58cbacked Hawaii | 46c | 21.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80aa…0b30backed Hawaii | 48c | 20.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41cb…942dbacked San Jose State | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawaii vs. San Jose Statethis page
- Hawaii vs. San Jose State: O/U 55.5Over won
- Hawaii vs. San Jose State: O/U 56.5Over won
- Hawaii vs. San Jose State: O/U 58.5Over won
- O/U 57.5Over won
- Spread: San Jose State (-1.5)San Jose State won
- Spread: San Jose State (-2.5)San Jose State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.