TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbf84…4ab2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
115
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: UFC, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 57 out of 100; worst NFL at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST2321.7%5 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-44.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ETHGAS FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10
ETHGAS FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+192.5%+$21.05
Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$72.55
Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+284.6%+$284.62
Will Almanak FDV above $80M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$29.09
Will Almanak FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$37.81
Will Almanak FDV above $160M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+155.4%+$155.84
Over 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$68
Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$61.28
Over 30,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$72.57
Over 15,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+25%+$52.52
Over 10,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Over $3M committed to the Makina public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$86
Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$203.77
Kinetiq FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$195
Kinetiq FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$21.1
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$622Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$622.31
Pump.fun market cap (FDV) <$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.38
Pump.fun market cap (FDV) $4-6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+114.6%+$17.2
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$22
76ers vs. Netsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+28.2%+$11.28
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Grizzlies vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.58
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+52.2%+$18.26
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Hawks vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Bucks vs. Mavericks: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+100%+$25
Pacers vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+119.6%+$23.91
Bulls vs. Cavaliersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Lakers vs. Hawks: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 17 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+25.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
UFC — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$110
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Brown vs. Bonfimbacked Bonfim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+66.7%+$8.1
Salikhov vs. Medicbacked Salikhov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Bonfim vs. Padillabacked Padilla · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Pennington vs. Gomesbacked Pennington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Carnelossi vs. Alencarbacked Alencar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Garcia vs. Onamabacked Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+80.2%+$16.04
Delija vs. Cortes-Acostabacked Cortes-Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+121.2%+$48.49
Wells vs. Gorimbobacked Wells · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Cuamba vs. Leebacked Cuamba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+100%+$20
Vieira vs. Dumontbacked Dumont · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+60%+$12
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set 1 Winner: Fritz vs Minaurbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Fritz vs. Minaur: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+49.3%+$9.85
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$41
Open de Moselle: Corentin Moutet vs Aleksandar Vukicbacked Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Coco Gauff vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.14
WTA Finals, Serena Williams Group: Amanda Anisimova vs Madison Keysbacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.78
Hellenic Championship: Eliot Spizzirri vs Laslo Djerebacked Djere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegulabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Himeno Sakatsume vs Maya Jointbacked Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+32.8%+$4.91
All 9 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick20cpaid-75.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be between 53-54°F on November 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$135
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 45-46°F on November 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in London be 59°F or higher on November 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on November 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$130
Will the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on November 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+92.4%+$151.6
Will the highest temperature in London be between 51-52°F on November 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$71.99
Will the highest temperature in London be 48°F or below on November 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Will the highest temperature in London be between 49-50°F on November 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$33
All 8 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid+30.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawaii vs. San Jose Statebacked San Jose State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+90.9%+$25.68
Georgia Tech vs. NC Statebacked NC State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+86.8%+$17.36
Oklahoma vs. Tennesseebacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+63.9%+$9.89
USC vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT+63.7%+$14.14
All 4 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-31.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$17.95
Falcons vs. Coltsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$11.5
Colts vs. Steelersbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Chargers (-8.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 4 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+84.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.63
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+117.5%+$187.44
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$19.66
All 3 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+77.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+254.1%+$68.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$18.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+212.5%+$21.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace vs. Brighton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+212.5%+$21.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2025-11-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+49.3%+$6.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$112.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FCSB win on 2025-12-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.