TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Pistons

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Bulls, Pistons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,184,442
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,292,534

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,184,442 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,678 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3987…259ebacked Pistons43c964,462$419,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545,300.048022.5%18 W · 62 L-10.0wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-49.4%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Bulls32c150,000$47,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,899.9838248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Bulls56c130,000$72,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72,50017354.3%94 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Bulls56c105,000$59,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,30087144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Bulls33c85,094$28,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,245.95,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca5a…7e43backed Bulls31c80,000$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,999.992941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Bulls57c78,500$44,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,408.2420253.5%108 W · 94 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1602…3674backed Pistons51c76,999$39,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,579.362466.7%16 W · 8 L+4.8wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+37.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9a75…4347backed Pistons78c65,161$50,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,643.7513248.5%64 W · 68 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Bulls45c58,276$26,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,477.81,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Bulls55c57,300$31,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,263.7669852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Pistons44c55,973$24,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,344.824650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Bulls28c50,084$13,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,939.0926038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Bulls57c48,000$27,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,36059653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Bulls58c47,400$27,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,4921,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Bulls51c46,257$23,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,700.8319249.5%95 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Bulls47c44,885$21,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,122.664,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Bulls57c37,599$21,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,431.284037.5%15 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x220c…43c8backed Bulls57c37,500$21,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,3757149.3%35 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bulls54c36,519$19,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,773.89,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Pistons67c33,754$22,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,208.2220352.2%106 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Bulls57c32,500$18,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,374.9837557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Pistons65c31,442$20,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,941.6734062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Bulls52c30,033$15,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,727.4514052.1%73 W · 67 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Bulls37c30,000$11,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,099.9834645.4%157 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Pistons68c29,339$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,339.0248448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Bulls52c25,000$13,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,0005350.9%27 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked Bulls28c24,000$6,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,80037930.6%116 W · 263 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Bulls55c23,493$12,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,914.662,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17db…5f6dbacked Bulls43c23,180$9,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,993.792060%12 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8058…d023backed Pistons49c21,892$10,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,249.697946.8%37 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b71…8044backed Pistons48c21,000$10,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,9308939.3%35 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1c0b…9f41backed Pistons65c20,000$13,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,0001172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+22.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5922…3388backed Pistons47c20,000$9,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,6004456.8%25 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Bulls52c20,000$10,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,399.978843.2%38 W · 50 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Bulls56c19,092$10,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,691.5340133.4%134 W · 267 L+27.0wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Bulls56c18,998$10,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,556.6729748.1%143 W · 154 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Bulls50c16,932$8,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,548.3744459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bulls19c15,896$3,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,070.668,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Bulls57c15,555$8,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,866.3515952.2%83 W · 76 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Bulls52c15,356$7,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,950.3266853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x575a…bba6backed Bulls57c14,912$8,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,50012529.6%37 W · 88 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf02…4fdcbacked Pistons48c13,043$6,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,782.352937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff36…e757backed Bulls54c13,000$7,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,02011547%54 W · 61 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc701…f932backed Bulls44c12,799$5,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,657.755250%26 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Bulls44c12,370$5,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,442.847751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bulls14c11,696$1,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,688.081,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee50…7ed6backed Pistons58c11,600$6,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,872.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Bulls48c11,173$5,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,373.0536148.5%175 W · 186 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x614b…bee6backed Pistons65c11,159$7,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,954.981050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Pistons75c11,027$8,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,724.1527917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe89e…bb74backed Bulls53c10,500$5,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,514.981127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Bulls51c10,110$5,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,148.7778445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Bulls42c10,099$4,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,241.7874748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ada…baeabacked Bulls44c10,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,40010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x194f…3d95backed Pistons52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,799.9913345.9%61 W · 72 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b6…630cbacked Bulls42c8,800$3,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6966352.4%33 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Bulls21c8,600$1,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,812.6625753.7%138 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Bulls35c8,291$2,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,901.931,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa727…8289backed Bulls49c8,243$4,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,012.47261.1%44 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefbb…2223backed Pistons58c8,183$4,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,436.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x013d…b597backed Bulls42c8,178$3,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,434.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Pistons51c8,161$4,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,003.6185742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Bulls30c8,075$2,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,447.51,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Bulls57c8,057$4,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,592.748846.6%41 W · 47 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked Bulls45c7,722$3,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,498.8412740.9%52 W · 75 L-15.3wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-22.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Bulls54c7,706$4,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,198.3872450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bulls43c7,597$3,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,239.8581529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Pistons45c7,500$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,099.9966250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55ca…ca43backed Pistons54c7,475$4,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,433.311575.7%87 W · 28 L+11.5wins+0.10per pick66cpaid+16.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons47c7,425$3,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,898.496,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Bulls17c7,262$1,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,269.191,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac0d…b006backed Bulls53c6,907$3,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,660.881861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+24.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30f3…279abacked Pistons57c6,500$3,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Bulls52c6,480$3,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,383.332,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Bulls35c6,450$2,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,240.7729458.5%172 W · 122 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Bulls54c6,055$3,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,294.6814356.6%81 W · 62 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ce2…e868backed Bulls57c6,000$3,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4205850%29 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Bulls22c5,976$1,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,296.938036.3%29 W · 51 L-8.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Bulls33c5,709$1,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,906.272,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fd9…544abacked Bulls54c5,577$3,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0271040%4 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-38.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x19fd…5838backed Pistons57c5,555$3,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,388.855925.4%15 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Bulls2c5,514$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.287211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Pistons48c5,503$2,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,856.1910236.3%37 W · 65 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Bulls53c5,500$2,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,914.9647748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a59…770cbacked Bulls38c5,316$2,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,008.246665.2%43 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Bulls23c5,095$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.823,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Bulls56c5,000$2,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,809.9896447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Bulls56c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80080146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8198…e96ebacked Bulls54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70016446.3%76 W · 88 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Bulls5c5,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeef4…32a1backed Pistons54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,30010041%41 W · 59 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Bulls17c4,937$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.7548739.8%194 W · 293 L-21.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf800…f62dbacked Bulls58c4,759$2,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7608347%39 W · 44 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Pistons79c4,500$3,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94534855.2%192 W · 156 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Bulls33c4,438$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,475.713,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Pistons50c4,425$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,205.852,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked Bulls38c4,183$1,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,57010852.8%57 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Bulls15c4,000$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5951,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Pistons57c4,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,719.9176850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.