NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16427dda2cdfaccf748d513d8b600dbe4a4989e69a83ada91907a92d961ba245
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,258
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf624…acc7backed Over | 56c | 20,044$11,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,819.36 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…7127backed Under | 44c | 18,930$8,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,329.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460e…2efbbacked Under | 44c | 18,659$8,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,209.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4140…0272backed Over | 56c | 17,545$9,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,719.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 5,867$2,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,013.58 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Under | 53c | 5,587$2,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,960.7 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 47c | 1,287$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.19 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 43c | 783.23$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.07 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fde…66b2backed Under | 44c | 513.64$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 44c | 465$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.6 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 47c | 368.79$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.34 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 39c | 274.51$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.02 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…b094backed Over | 52c | 245$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Over | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 140.74$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.71 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…cf81backed Over | 57c | 140$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 189 | 55%104 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3a…1273backed Under | 62c | 138.65$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…aec0backed Over | 57c | 114.04$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.04 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bba…b20fbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3906…f74bbacked Over | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Over | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Under | 48c | 98.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Over | 57c | 92$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.56 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b20…7c67backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe311…c2c8backed Under | 13c | 78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 14c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9202…8ef9backed Over | 54c | 74.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…1943backed Over | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 57c | 63.16$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Over | 75c | 58.51$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 353 | 52.4%185 W · 168 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x795f…1871backed Under | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3543…c63fbacked Over | 56c | 47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a3…8248backed Over | 58c | 44.83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e9…8f51backed Under | 45c | 44.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9f…4cc8backed Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 48c | 43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…17abbacked Over | 54c | 42.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0b…1466backed Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…3e73backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f7…f858backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Under | 44c | 35.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c48…327abacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9be0…7491backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…1945backed Over | 54c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…d5b0backed Over | 56c | 34.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8d…4a1cbacked Under | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd185…f969backed Under | 43c | 29.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca2…f018backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…1774backed Over | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7a20backed Over | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81d3…8ae4backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc6…464cbacked Under | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Over | 56c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 166 | 58.4%97 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf597…f4aebacked Over | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcca…da80backed Over | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5this page
- Bulls vs. PistonsPistons won
- Bulls vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Bulls vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Pistons: O/U 233.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Pistons: O/U 234.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Pistons: O/U 235.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Pistons: O/U 236.5Over won
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.