NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Pistons: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf745a7ecad33e10f9349b9809702d2d928544ac0b982ebb67e14af4132ad4d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,346
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,346 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf050…91debacked Over | 48c | 1,333$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…23a4backed Under | 52c | 1,333$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 49c | 1,117$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.33 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed Over | 48c | 1,046$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.9 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 54c | 771$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.34 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 506.23$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.5 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Under | 54c | 370$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 46c | 347.72$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.14 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 50c | 266$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.32 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 148.14$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.99 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…aec0backed Under | 53c | 141.17$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 52c | 115.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 47c | 102$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.98 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc89…4ca1backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…aaecbacked Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 44c | 89.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc597…4ee7backed Under | 46c | 62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -37%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2381…ea41backed Over | 70c | 52.09$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…d6e6backed Over | 38c | 43.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0b…1466backed Under | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6d…a980backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa55…4b00backed Under | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea1…6072backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 245 | 66.9%164 W · 81 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 39c | 25.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf597…f4aebacked Under | 60c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Pistons: O/U 236.5this page
- Bulls vs. PistonsPistons won
- Bulls vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Bulls vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Pistons: O/U 233.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Pistons: O/U 234.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Pistons: O/U 235.5Over won
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.