TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9bba…b20f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
151
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: NBA, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 52 out of 100; worst Serie A at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST8950.6%45 W · 44 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 89 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Raptorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+127.3%+$63.28
Jazz vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$40.32
Warriors vs. 76ersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$49.88
Clippers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Spurs vs. Magicbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+270.4%+$87.6
Hornets vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+170.3%+$87.6
Bulls vs. Magicbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$52.8
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+63.9%+$29.64
76ers vs. Netsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+40.8%+$11.6
Bulls vs. Hornetsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$68.4
Lakers vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$109
Spurs vs. Suns: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$97
Trail Blazers vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$79.5
Nets vs. Raptorsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$16.4
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Clippers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Hornets vs. Hawks: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$57
Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+108.3%+$52
Heat vs. 76ersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+96.1%+$53.9
Kings vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+96.1%+$49
Kings vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+108.3%+$49.21
Wizards vs. Bulls: O/U 243.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$53
Pistons vs. Bucks: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+95.2%+$103.42
Hawks vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$106
Knicks vs. Magic: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+85.2%+$46
Showing 25 of 89 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$25.6
Kings vs. Sharksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$41
Senators vs. Ducksbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+42.9%+$15
Stars vs. Canucksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+75.4%+$30.1
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$88
Rangers vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+66.7%+$40
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30.69
Devils vs. Panthersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$30.69
Hurricanes vs. Wildbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$26.19
Utah vs. Sharksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$49.5
Islanders vs. Avalanchebacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$19.8
Jets vs. Flamesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+85.5%+$63.92
Sharks vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+81.8%+$22.5
Islanders vs. Golden Knightsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+33.7%+$20.14
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Getafe win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+72.4%+$46.2
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$146
Barcelona vs. Alaves: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+104.1%+$147.9
Will Elche CF win on 2025-11-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$32.5
Getafe vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$52.8
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+78.6%+$56.32
Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Elche CF win on 2025-11-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$27.44
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-44.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Simona Waltert vs Ajla Tomljanovicbacked Simona Waltert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Miami Open, Qualification: Ella Seidel vs Rebeka Masarovabacked Ella Seidel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$49.5
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$168.45
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+47.4%+$74.4
WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauffbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+67.6%+$123.77
Swiss Indoors Basel: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Joao Fonsecabacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Erste Bank Open: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+26.9%+$9.46
All 8 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.36per pick52cpaid-70.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bears vs. Eagles: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Bills vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+26.6%+$12.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+37%+$7.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Slovenia win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$49.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2025-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.