La Liga · resolved market
Will Elche CF win on 2025-11-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14919a8f6d150133a023d063c93203b2a680d4b7375e153bf754bb2b0b181fee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,648
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,648 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52e8…c4cdbacked Yes | 24c | 5,000$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 4,790$3,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.5 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2839…0efebacked Yes | 25c | 4,057$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 24c | 3,957$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 79c | 2,335$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.89 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x214d…cd09backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Yes | 24c | 1,667$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Yes | 24c | 1,200$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 75c | 1,165$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.6 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 24c | 1,138$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.22 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 15c | 1,103$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.59 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Yes | 11c | 927.67$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833a…5d74backed Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 23c | 722.76$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.24 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 9c | 700$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe98…9e5abacked Yes | 25c | 632.34$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b16…7af0backed Yes | 25c | 620$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x790d…9995backed Yes | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34d8…7cbabacked No | 76c | 599.97$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 456.47$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.76 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea7a…446bbacked Yes | 26c | 429.54$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 76c | 339.41$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.46 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e3…e3f5backed Yes | 8c | 326.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 76c | 301.25$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.3 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 75c | 299.99$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 24c | 266$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.31 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 25c | 229$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.25 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 225$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4f…569cbacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e20…1524backed Yes | 24c | 207.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 24c | 186.21$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.69 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 78c | 164.55$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes | 24c | 145.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccf…b312backed Yes | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bba…b20fbacked Yes | 25c | 130$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…e91bbacked No | 76c | 115.74$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb15e…5111backed No | 76c | 104.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7a…85bfbacked Yes | 11c | 103.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 76c | 101$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 76c | 87.92$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 145 | 74.5%108 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…5cd7backed Yes | 25c | 80.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e48…8382backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72e5…deb8backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 15c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…0868backed No | 76c | 66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 24c | 65.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed No | 77c | 58.44$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…300cbacked No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 23c | 44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65b…1669backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…7712backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4659…98bebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 74c | 35.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 172 | 52.3%90 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed No | 75c | 34.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0102…8b43backed No | 76c | 25.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 176 | 60.2%106 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 144 | 62.5%90 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 77c | 16.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a28…7f61backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elche CF win on 2025-11-28?this page
- Will Getafe vs. Elche CF end in a draw?No won
- Will Getafe win on 2025-11-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.