TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x790d…9995

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: La Liga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST1546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+48%+$162.04
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$340
Rangers vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+101.8%+$48.87
Oilers vs. Capitalsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Maple Leafs vs. Bruinsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Capitals vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Avalanche vs. Sharksbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Penguins vs. Wildbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$71.95
Blackhawks vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$42.07
Kings vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$173
Blues vs. Penguinsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Hurricanes vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+400%+$240
Ducks vs. Lightningbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.42
Utah vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$17.62
Flames vs. Oilersbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$50.47
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+522.5%+$190.41
Roland Garros WTA: Hanyu Guo vs McCartney Kesslerbacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$31.14
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Cameron Norriebacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
ASB Classic: Francesca Jones vs Emma Navarrobacked Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$16.28
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+58.7%+$111
Rolex Paris Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$37.7
Erste Bank Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$15
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.25
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.5
Wuhan Tennis Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Iga Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$37
Korea Open: Suzan Lamens vs Tatjana Mariabacked Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.07
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-56.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.9
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+37%+$147.96
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$104
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$55.5
Bucks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+112.8%+$264.97
Bulls vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$197.39
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$96
Wizards vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$918Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$918.17
Hawks vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+25%+$50
Raptors vs. Spursbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Celtics vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+22.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-60%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 16, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 319: Andrade vs. Godinezbacked Andrade · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
UFC 319: Hooper vs. Hernandezbacked Hooper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
UFC 319: Silva vs. Barbosa backed Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
All 3 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+140.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
F1 Belgian GP: Leclerc vs. Verstappenbacked Leclerc · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+227.4%+$45.48
F1 Belgian GP: Leclerc vs. Russell backed Leclerc · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$8.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+106.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liberty vs Lynxbacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Mercury vs Feverbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+312.8%+$71.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$18.1
Will Grimsby Town F.C beat Manchester United?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+100%+$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iceland win on 2025-10-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+37%+$13.5
Will France win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win the 2025–26 Serie A league?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Lazio win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,074Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+35%+$376.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-09-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.03
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.