La Liga · resolved market
Will Levante UD win on 2025-08-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5434613e1dc356fa582695b61e5a76ac2c1fc2230336df090cd472d32b767079
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,849
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,310
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,849 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 7c | 6,473$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.77 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -7.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 80c | 4,705$3,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.13 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 41c | 4,592$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.92 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 67c | 4,056$2,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.39 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 31c | 3,999$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.18 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…8ce8backed Yes | 5c | 3,603$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 8c | 3,050$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 155 | 16.1%25 W · 130 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 7c | 3,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Yes | 50c | 2,820$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 43c | 2,785$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.32 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Yes | 24c | 2,170$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 7c | 2,128$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.93 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -60%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Yes | 8c | 1,963$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbceb…bd96backed No | 51c | 1,957$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Yes | 7c | 1,823$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.61 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 9c | 1,613$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.23 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee94…2ad7backed Yes | 52c | 1,548$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 9c | 1,200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 146 | 21.9%32 W · 114 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 55c | 1,182$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 7c | 1,021$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.27 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked No | 51c | 964.71$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.71 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Yes | 27c | 919.89$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fb…2b2abacked Yes | 55c | 653.28$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…b33dbacked Yes | 8c | 643$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 625.88$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.7 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f67…a1d7backed No | 50c | 599.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.98 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 74c | 579.57$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.26 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked No | 45c | 552.5$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.88 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce69…c81dbacked No | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +6.7wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…b3ffbacked No | 51c | 400.78$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.34 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 52c | 400.63$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.33 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 30c | 391.76$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.25 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 21c | 383.87$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.76 | 258 | 72.9%188 W · 70 L | +23.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 52c | 382.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.08 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked No | 51c | 300$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d1…6da1backed Yes | 10c | 299.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6f…80adbacked Yes | 55c | 237.89$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad6…9963backed No | 80c | 234$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…43febacked No | 45c | 222$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 47c | 191.3$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.56 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 9c | 191$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 139 | 69.8%97 W · 42 L | +30.1wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 50c | 188.05$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.03 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…42d5backed Yes | 56c | 178.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…bfbfbacked Yes | 8c | 168$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf8…dfb0backed Yes | 41c | 167.22$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Yes | 52c | 154.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked No | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecb7…7998backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 16cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…739bbacked Yes | 52c | 105.26$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…eff3backed No | 48c | 99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed No | 78c | 97.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d87…7879backed Yes | 52c | 77.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa78a…60b5backed Yes | 18c | 66.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bef…0526backed Yes | 52c | 54.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x790d…9995backed No | 65c | 53.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…933abacked Yes | 51c | 48.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d91…863dbacked Yes | 51c | 41.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0de…443bbacked Yes | 52c | 39.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab8…83a6backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 51c | 37.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0a90backed No | 50c | 36.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…4955backed No | 51c | 36.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…c476backed Yes | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…7300backed No | 47c | 32.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92be…d717backed No | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…f180backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Levante UD win on 2025-08-23?this page
- Will Barcelona win on 2025-08-23?Yes won
- Will Levante UD vs. Barcelona end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.