Champions League · resolved market
Will Qairat FK win on 2025-11-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3a7eabbfc1d68e4659f8539a17e6259802f853c3b2211192c8c4dc5d152732d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $234,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $247,115
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $234,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 1c | 16,808$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.49 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Yes | 1c | 12,939$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.61 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Yes | 1c | 11,550$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.05 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 2c | 11,325$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.22 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf7…9189backed Yes | 1c | 10,714$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Yes | 1c | 10,072$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.34 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +403.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 1c | 9,427$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.26 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 2c | 7,917$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.01 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fa…b1d3backed Yes | 5c | 4,877$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed Yes | 2c | 4,302$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 2c | 4,209$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 1c | 3,003$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.13 | 150 | 32.7%49 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed Yes | 1c | 2,992$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Yes | 1c | 2,972$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb423…37f8backed Yes | 2c | 2,235$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 6cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…4691backed Yes | 2c | 2,040$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e81…b001backed Yes | 3c | 1,929$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.88 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 3c | 1,847$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,803$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1083…3b83backed Yes | 2c | 1,780$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Yes | 1c | 1,700$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Yes | 1c | 1,648$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…534ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,454$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c2…cfb5backed Yes | 1c | 1,379$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 2c | 1,369$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 107 | 17.8%19 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Yes | 1c | 1,269$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4abe…11ecbacked Yes | 2c | 1,250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…e3febacked Yes | 2c | 1,250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c71…23dcbacked Yes | 2c | 1,232$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +85%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 2c | 1,177$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 290 | 34.5%100 W · 190 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes | 2c | 1,160$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb7…7998backed Yes | 2c | 1,127$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…2398backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 1c | 986.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 921.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 187 | 7%13 W · 174 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…c4b7backed Yes | 2c | 875$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 1c | 839$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 2c | 742.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7102…28b4backed Yes | 2c | 711.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…4526backed Yes | 5c | 710.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b6…bc8abacked Yes | 3c | 638.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f3…48edbacked Yes | 2c | 598.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3667…f4febacked Yes | 2c | 555$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x862e…7972backed Yes | 2c | 550$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…ab18backed Yes | 3c | 500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 33cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x790d…9995backed Yes | 3c | 500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes | 4c | 281.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qairat FK win on 2025-11-05?this page
- Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Qairat FK end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-05?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.