Champions League · resolved market
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Qairat FK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4a482d12d02fb8eee13411044e23907a280e4dec8a67c9924bf5a6287067420
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 4c | 4,178$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Yes | 24c | 4,000$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 1c | 3,500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 104 | 19.2%20 W · 84 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4da5…e32ebacked Yes | 5c | 3,173$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 78c | 3,019$2,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.4 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee50…7ed6backed Yes | 22c | 1,637$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 8c | 1,611$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.81 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b6…bc8abacked Yes | 8c | 1,440$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 5c | 1,336$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.58 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 4c | 1,305$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.93 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Yes | 17c | 1,222$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 76c | 1,182$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.36 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c2…cfb5backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1234…9bd1backed Yes | 4c | 796.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Yes | 2c | 500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…2d68backed Yes | 4c | 449.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Yes | 4c | 400$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 25c | 382.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.57 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 4c | 344.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…9486backed Yes | 4c | 332.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes | 4c | 319$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 229.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 187 | 7%13 W · 174 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef8…1f8dbacked Yes | 16c | 227.77$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.16 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 256 | 59.8%153 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…0f44backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5840…fb16backed Yes | 14c | 200$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…27a1backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c67…910abacked Yes | 20c | 93.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Yes | 24c | 91.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x211a…6ef4backed Yes | 22c | 91.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5399…fab2backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 77c | 76.76$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Yes | 17c | 66.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4f…8921backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Qairat FK end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-05?Yes won
- Will Qairat FK win on 2025-11-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.