TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$198,244

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $198,244 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xead1…c76abacked Over49c150,397$73,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,694.532,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Under51c94,498$48,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,304.165658.9%33 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under51c55,721$28,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,286.794,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over48c7,121$3,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,442.3587451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed Over48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.986654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Over47c2,395$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.7944352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Under51c2,030$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.5537842.9%162 W · 216 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x66c4…2852backed Under52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96011358.4%66 W · 47 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under52c1,609$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.553,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under53c1,151$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.9449246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Under53c1,150$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.525049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under52c1,059$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.7887453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Over48c891$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.0811543.5%50 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under52c852.55$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.793,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over48c843.91$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.081,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under53c754.72$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.7234854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over20c693.59$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.488,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over49c616.51$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.0987049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over11c580.79$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8924138.6%93 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x026c…8d76backed Over46c551$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.426946.4%32 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Under52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24022846.1%105 W · 123 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under53c468.2$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.494,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under52c402.6$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.842,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1961,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.622,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under52c344$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.1277549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under53c332.56$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.222,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under61c319.38$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.252,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under79c297.67$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.841,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91f7…4767backed Under56c272.5$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.910651.9%55 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Under56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.8626048.1%125 W · 135 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Under55c263.49$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.5762744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f79…f7f7backed Over45c239.43$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.749442.6%40 W · 54 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9695047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Under54c186.91$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.989045.6%41 W · 49 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf201…6210backed Over46c178.99$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Over45c177.78$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8024849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3478…8c07backed Over45c152$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.4757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Over49c150.15$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.5716242.6%69 W · 93 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under51c150.15$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.571,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ff4…4ccfbacked Over45c150$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff7f…bb30backed Over47c149.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.54637%17 W · 29 L-6.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-31.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under53c148.15$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.631,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3af…8a05backed Over47c143$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0e4…ebfbbacked Over45c143$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.35250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9302…85ddbacked Over45c141$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.45966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+42.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd74…4a03backed Over45c132$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32e3…548abacked Under52c130.48$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Over44c129.55$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5717643.2%76 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c06…bbeebacked Over47c129$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6313448.5%65 W · 69 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed Under53c126.42$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4212541.6%52 W · 73 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x993b…ecfbbacked Over44c116.45$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.717142.3%30 W · 41 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x083c…65f2backed Under52c116$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.68850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x464c…4632backed Over32c114.81$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.795650%28 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under57c107.86$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.061,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over47c107.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.312,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under52c106.34$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3491746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5047738.2%182 W · 295 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5053453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86a8…d0e7backed Under56c99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4410955%60 W · 49 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over48c97$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.561,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e54…5fdfbacked Over45c95.88$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.15110%0 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x544c…7029backed Under53c94.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-43.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under51c86.12$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.26,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65d8…bac6backed Under53c84.91$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9138350.4%193 W · 190 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb75…528ebacked Under54c83.29$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.313100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over48c81.79$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2655347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a0d…c27bbacked Under51c81.59$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.984658.7%27 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+24.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3df4…9723backed Under52c81.57$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.99450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x599b…2253backed Under52c80.23$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.232450%12 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under78c78.43$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0356447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under52c77$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9662049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d00…95b2backed Over49c76.97$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.961566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+27.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb333…e295backed Under53c71.7$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.71855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Under52c67$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1614753.7%79 W · 68 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbef4…8244backed Under55c66$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2b6…d7cebacked Under53c62.89$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.567542.7%32 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over44c62.18$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3678648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x790d…9995backed Over45c61.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.91127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-56.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ac…40d1backed Over47c61.17$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.95955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+27.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over49c60.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8723651.3%121 W · 115 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c04…2e2dbacked Under56c60.71$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7150648%243 W · 263 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Under52c58$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8432947.4%156 W · 173 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa400…3b54backed Under55c58$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+33.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Over48c56.25$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2760945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffb5…5a64backed Under55c56$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+38.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f79…11d3backed Under55c54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+24.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4aa9…8f8cbacked Under56c53$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.321947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68aa…9a7dbacked Under56c53$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.323100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+65.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6db…fc65backed Under62c51.24$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.262055%11 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over47c50.43$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.740146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2359650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4147…902abacked Under56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2217342.8%74 W · 99 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43ad…79f2backed Under55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c5d…7236backed Under55c49$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.05250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Under52c48$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0432747.4%155 W · 172 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Under52c48$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0427345.1%123 W · 150 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd20…b5f6backed Under53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.171060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe355…ef78backed Under55c46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb402…42cebacked Under53c43.96$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.664639.1%18 W · 28 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.