NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d0957826f24363e769e26f030de0e7a9f874a2ce94bacdd4a5b4eb8579f800d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $198,244
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $198,244 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 49c | 150,397$73,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,694.53 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Under | 51c | 94,498$48,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,304.16 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 55,721$28,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,286.79 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 48c | 7,121$3,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,442.35 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Over | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.98 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Over | 47c | 2,395$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.79 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 51c | 2,030$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.55 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c4…2852backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 52c | 1,609$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.55 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 53c | 1,151$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.94 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Under | 53c | 1,150$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.5 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 52c | 1,059$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.78 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Over | 48c | 891$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.08 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 52c | 852.55$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.79 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 48c | 843.91$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.08 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.72 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 20c | 693.59$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.48 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 49c | 616.51$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.09 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 11c | 580.79$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.89 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x026c…8d76backed Over | 46c | 551$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.42 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 53c | 468.2$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.49 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 52c | 402.6$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.84 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 52c | 344$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.12 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 53c | 332.56$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.22 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 61c | 319.38$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.25 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 79c | 297.67$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.84 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…4767backed Under | 56c | 272.5$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.9 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Under | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Under | 55c | 263.49$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.57 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f79…f7f7backed Over | 45c | 239.43$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.74 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Under | 54c | 186.91$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.98 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…6210backed Over | 46c | 178.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Over | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3478…8c07backed Over | 45c | 152$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Over | 49c | 150.15$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.57 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 51c | 150.15$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.57 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff4…4ccfbacked Over | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7f…bb30backed Over | 47c | 149.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 53c | 148.15$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.63 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3af…8a05backed Over | 47c | 143$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e4…ebfbbacked Over | 45c | 143$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9302…85ddbacked Over | 45c | 141$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd74…4a03backed Over | 45c | 132$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…548abacked Under | 52c | 130.48$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Over | 44c | 129.55$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Over | 47c | 129$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.63 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…3d55backed Under | 53c | 126.42$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.42 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x993b…ecfbbacked Over | 44c | 116.45$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x083c…65f2backed Under | 52c | 116$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x464c…4632backed Over | 32c | 114.81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.79 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 57c | 107.86$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.06 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 47c | 107.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.31 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 52c | 106.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a8…d0e7backed Under | 56c | 99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 48c | 97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e54…5fdfbacked Over | 45c | 95.88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.15 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x544c…7029backed Under | 53c | 94.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 51c | 86.12$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.2 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Under | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 383 | 50.4%193 W · 190 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…528ebacked Under | 54c | 83.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 48c | 81.79$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.26 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0d…c27bbacked Under | 51c | 81.59$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.98 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…9723backed Under | 52c | 81.57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x599b…2253backed Under | 52c | 80.23$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.23 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 78c | 78.43$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 52c | 77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d00…95b2backed Over | 49c | 76.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb333…e295backed Under | 53c | 71.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Under | 52c | 67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbef4…8244backed Under | 55c | 66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked Under | 53c | 62.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 44c | 62.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x790d…9995backed Over | 45c | 61.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ac…40d1backed Over | 47c | 61.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 49c | 60.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Under | 56c | 60.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Under | 52c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 329 | 47.4%156 W · 173 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa400…3b54backed Under | 55c | 58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 48c | 56.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffb5…5a64backed Under | 55c | 56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f79…11d3backed Under | 55c | 54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa9…8f8cbacked Under | 56c | 53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68aa…9a7dbacked Under | 56c | 53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6db…fc65backed Under | 62c | 51.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 47c | 50.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4147…902abacked Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ad…79f2backed Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5d…7236backed Under | 55c | 49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Under | 52c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 327 | 47.4%155 W · 172 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Under | 52c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 273 | 45.1%123 W · 150 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd20…b5f6backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe355…ef78backed Under | 55c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb402…42cebacked Under | 53c | 43.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-15.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-16.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-17.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. GrizzliesSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5Under won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.