NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8019508a5b508995f67ff415c0975906a8d5fc374e88700abc39c84c6eda79b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $362,940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $362,940 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 284 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Spurs | 52c | 83,676$43,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,312.38 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Spurs | 52c | 75,932$39,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,447.5 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 60,000$28,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,800 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 52,507$25,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,562.9 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 26,065$12,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,450.68 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 24,464$11,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,742.84 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Spurs | 51c | 12,000$6,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,880 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Grizzlies | 48c | 8,209$3,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,940.42 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Grizzlies | 48c | 5,001$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400.48 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 4,762$2,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,285.76 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Grizzlies | 48c | 4,211$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,022.36 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spurs | 52c | 4,109$2,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,973.76 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Spurs | 53c | 4,035$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,895.09 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc3…5ac0backed Grizzlies | 49c | 3,015$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Spurs | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…8d5cbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 2,936$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a6…8eddbacked Spurs | 51c | 2,923$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…bc47backed Spurs | 51c | 2,905$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11b7…81f4backed Spurs | 51c | 2,890$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf75…f94ebacked Spurs | 51c | 2,874$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d17…c336backed Grizzlies | 49c | 2,856$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa67…dd80backed Spurs | 51c | 2,828$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12db…9e77backed Spurs | 51c | 2,794$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 2,785$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.82 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480b…0f1cbacked Spurs | 51c | 2,781$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…0236backed Grizzlies | 49c | 2,762$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58bd…c1f5backed Grizzlies | 49c | 2,759$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218b…55c8backed Grizzlies | 49c | 2,742$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…9106backed Grizzlies | 49c | 2,741$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd08f…ae9ebacked Spurs | 51c | 2,707$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cf…c4cfbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 2,697$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…a8b6backed Grizzlies | 49c | 2,628$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa971…043fbacked Spurs | 51c | 2,615$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Spurs | 50c | 2,584$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.93 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfeb…e7f3backed Grizzlies | 49c | 2,574$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa09d…2b02backed Spurs | 51c | 2,554$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d8…e090backed Spurs | 51c | 2,543$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…24c5backed Spurs | 51c | 2,484$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6758…0d0abacked Grizzlies | 49c | 2,468$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f07…05c5backed Grizzlies | 49c | 2,425$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf3…5186backed Grizzlies | 49c | 2,417$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4a…d4dfbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 2,406$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7a…f942backed Spurs | 51c | 2,405$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d5…3e96backed Spurs | 51c | 2,403$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a1…453ebacked Grizzlies | 49c | 2,389$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a3…9842backed Spurs | 51c | 2,368$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…67aabacked Spurs | 51c | 2,332$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5461…ee56backed Spurs | 51c | 2,327$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb59…09e0backed Grizzlies | 49c | 2,315$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3352…863bbacked Spurs | 51c | 2,306$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36a9…2211backed Spurs | 51c | 2,301$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb256…ecb2backed Spurs | 51c | 2,299$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f96…cc59backed Grizzlies | 49c | 2,287$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x164a…34f3backed Spurs | 51c | 2,268$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…0563backed Spurs | 51c | 2,262$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4df…db8fbacked Spurs | 51c | 2,254$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3d…aaa3backed Grizzlies | 49c | 2,219$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34d8…fe8bbacked Spurs | 51c | 2,211$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc424…382fbacked Spurs | 51c | 2,199$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc2…5c02backed Grizzlies | 49c | 2,184$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Grizzlies | 48c | 2,178$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.48 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…d752backed Grizzlies | 49c | 2,174$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1328…38e7backed Spurs | 51c | 2,164$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9be3…6eb2backed Grizzlies | 49c | 2,144$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e53…63ddbacked Spurs | 51c | 2,138$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe883…292dbacked Spurs | 51c | 2,136$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00b5…b2f9backed Grizzlies | 49c | 2,113$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8573…39c1backed Grizzlies | 49c | 2,084$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35ad…9058backed Grizzlies | 50c | 2,081$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa183…9c12backed Spurs | 51c | 2,068$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…d53bbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 2,056$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a6…0c46backed Grizzlies | 49c | 2,050$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…4581backed Spurs | 51c | 2,044$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8713…50cabacked Grizzlies | 49c | 2,038$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…131cbacked Spurs | 51c | 2,011$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Grizzlies | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…987ebacked Grizzlies | 49c | 1,985$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb983…e644backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,983$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d0…bea8backed Spurs | 51c | 1,945$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d03…6ed7backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,912$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24e…14e0backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,902$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d5…3f7fbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 1,853$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Spurs | 50c | 1,820$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.83 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d4…c554backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,801$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21a7…1a13backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,797$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd9…fab6backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,767$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x202e…35abbacked Spurs | 51c | 1,758$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.42 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef2a…8868backed Spurs | 51c | 1,756$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e53…5bbabacked Spurs | 51c | 1,749$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,748$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.04 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dcb…e8c3backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,747$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7499…0cf3backed Spurs | 51c | 1,740$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1254…8e9abacked Spurs | 51c | 1,735$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Spurs | 52c | 1,730$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.4 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…e790backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,725$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf26a…caafbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 1,708$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387a…77d0backed Spurs | 51c | 1,705$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb15…5088backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,668$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd92…0bbcbacked Spurs | 51c | 1,658$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59e7…0e90backed Spurs | 51c | 1,658$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-16.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-15.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-17.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. GrizzliesSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5Under won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.