NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8166c3d9db9060221026d18f56c7b3ab7c03b792e86655c37c9df06277743055
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $919,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $919,139 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 50c | 696,489$348,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348,284.56 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 50c | 300,000$150,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150,000 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 164,340$82,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82,205.7 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 50c | 150,000$75,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,000 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Under | 50c | 100,000$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,000 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Over | 50c | 51,076$25,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,537.98 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Under | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6f…ce60backed Under | 50c | 26,000$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,000 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 50c | 14,242$7,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,124.64 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 50c | 14,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,000 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 47c | 8,662$4,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,071.1 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Under | 53c | 5,674$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,673.99 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Over | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.98 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Under | 50c | 4,500$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf00…9fbfbacked Under | 49c | 4,206$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,141.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 4,116$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.85 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb96e…85bbbacked Under | 51c | 4,072$2,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…ce19backed Over | 49c | 4,069$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,993.81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Under | 49c | 4,036$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058.29 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Under | 53c | 3,693$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735.71 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 50c | 3,600$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 50c | 3,565$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.85 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 2,753$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.51 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…14cdbacked Under | 53c | 2,732$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.08 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +6.1wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Under | 50c | 2,614$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…6c02backed Under | 53c | 2,075$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.47 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 51c | 1,618$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 51c | 1,517$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.16 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…cabcbacked Under | 48c | 1,325$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.2 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Over | 50c | 1,290$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Over | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Under | 51c | 1,185$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.54 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 1,106$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.03 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 1,103$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.01 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 1,089$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.25 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…1af3backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 827.11$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.67 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Under | 50c | 788$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 50c | 652.33$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.85 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Under | 51c | 603.03$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.03 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf498…3d66backed Under | 51c | 601.76$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.76 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 323 | 47.1%152 W · 171 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 50c | 591.87$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.79 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x026c…8d76backed Over | 49c | 575.68$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.33 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 48c | 496.22$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.19 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 50c | 415.69$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.7 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d8…c0f2backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…132abacked Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…9a2bbacked Under | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd815…1cdebacked Under | 51c | 395.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.06 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d63…0b78backed Over | 52c | 366.67$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.67 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 354.76$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.24 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…b74abacked Under | 51c | 354.52$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.71 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Under | 51c | 354$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.46 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…5667backed Under | 51c | 331.7$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.7 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under | 51c | 327$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.23 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd11a…09eebacked Under | 51c | 322.6$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.6 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…691bbacked Under | 51c | 300.02$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.02 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…39e2backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…815bbacked Under | 51c | 298.88$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.88 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Under | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Under | 51c | 287.75$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.12 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe4…dd93backed Over | 52c | 283.02$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 50c | 268.28$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.14 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…4767backed Under | 52c | 267.5$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.4 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 52c | 247.74$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.74 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ce…faabbacked Over | 49c | 219.95$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac73…cef6backed Under | 51c | 216$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…e4bfbacked Under | 51c | 216$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcde0…e074backed Under | 51c | 216$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddd…3087backed Over | 49c | 215.61$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4382…3354backed Under | 51c | 214$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea1…6998backed Over | 49c | 212.5$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea3b…07fabacked Over | 49c | 212.05$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…8bc2backed Over | 49c | 206.37$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…5f3bbacked Under | 51c | 205$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b382backed Under | 50c | 203$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d1…cc09backed Over | 49c | 200.5$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fa…222bbacked Under | 50c | 200.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.03 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a1…10dcbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +10.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 48c | 197.54$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.72 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2763…c844backed Under | 51c | 197$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9a…989abacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Under | 50c | 193.81$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.91 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 217 | 53%115 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb521…6cf9backed Under | 51c | 189$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d66…db6bbacked Over | 49c | 188.09$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x304f…a02cbacked Over | 49c | 187.63$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe946…77e0backed Under | 51c | 187$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…4b2fbacked Under | 51c | 182$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b8…3669backed Under | 51c | 182$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-15.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-16.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-17.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. GrizzliesSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5Under won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.