NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62fc79c8c0860444d9683502fb8c20ea372f83f854fe1f3c6c4162e41b7538b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $187,661
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,661 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 51c | 60,000$30,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,599.98 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under | 49c | 25,199$12,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,851.41 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 50c | 25,000$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 51c | 22,526$11,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,439.12 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6e…48e6backed Over | 52c | 22,119$11,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,501.65 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Under | 49c | 20,218$9,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,311.37 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 51c | 20,061$10,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,173.16 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 19,025$9,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,734.04 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Under | 48c | 12,000$5,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,240 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 11,203$5,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,755.86 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Under | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,204.08 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Under | 49c | 9,850$4,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,023.5 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 50c | 9,567$4,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,783.94 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Under | 50c | 9,181$4,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,590.5 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 50c | 7,916$3,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,958.78 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Under | 50c | 7,400$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ea…57d4backed Under | 49c | 6,110$2,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,116.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 50c | 5,694$2,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,835.6 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 51c | 4,101$2,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088.05 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 49c | 4,060$1,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070.6 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d6…6d6bbacked Over | 54c | 3,705$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 50c | 3,036$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 2,788$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436.77 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Under | 50c | 2,653$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.7 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Under | 50c | 2,285$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.3 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…3760backed Under | 50c | 2,250$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c773backed Over | 52c | 1,916$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.67 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…6c02backed Under | 51c | 1,765$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.71 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 51c | 1,700$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.36 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…5847backed Under | 48c | 1,650$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.66 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 52c | 1,444$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.84 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Over | 50c | 1,300$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 49c | 986.39$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.06 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 50c | 813.94$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.16 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 49c | 616$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.16 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 51c | 607.84$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.84 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 48c | 540.79$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.04 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 49c | 527.71$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.92 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 19c | 404.12$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 51c | 364.73$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.01 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa57d…611cbacked Under | 50c | 335.8$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.9 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 55c | 317.07$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.09 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 48c | 294.96$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.38 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Over | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 332 | 51.2%170 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Over | 51c | 215.69$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 256 | 57%146 W · 110 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 48c | 208.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.34 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58c…8b7fbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Under | 48c | 195.25$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.53 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over | 51c | 184.09$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.89 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 159.13$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.34 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 45c | 150.14$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.58 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 60c | 142.19$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Over | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661f…098abacked Over | 49c | 124.48$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Under | 49c | 119.39$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.89 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf25…636dbacked Under | 49c | 117.83$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.09 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…0815backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf89f…32b0backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 50c | 96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 48c | 95.05$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.43 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Over | 51c | 83.96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc7…7f02backed Under | 48c | 81.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.91 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Over | 52c | 81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…9805backed Under | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 51c | 77.2$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Over | 50c | 72.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 388 | 53.4%207 W · 181 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d5…2bb6backed Over | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Over | 50c | 68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 162 | 45.1%73 W · 89 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Over | 49c | 67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 50c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 48c | 64.23$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 51c | 63.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…0b9cbacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…cf78backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7583…0469backed Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 50c | 50.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…4389backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 437 | 50.1%219 W · 218 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…d6c6backed Over | 51c | 46.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 52c | 43.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaca…a0b6backed Over | 50c | 42.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -7.9wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 53c | 41.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…9aa2backed Under | 49c | 39.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 519 | 46.8%243 W · 276 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…e158backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0310…4745backed Over | 50c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x483b…027ebacked Under | 49c | 33.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Over | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-15.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-16.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-17.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. GrizzliesSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5Under won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.