TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf89f…32b0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
113
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 35.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT5042%21 W · 29 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$61.5
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$101.15
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.17
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.93
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.46
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.62
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.07
Hornets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.35
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$77.94
Pelicans vs. Trail Blazersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.9
Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.53
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$39.6
Pacers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.98
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$114.85
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$102.89
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+77%+$89.99
Knicks vs. Rocketsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.06
Suns vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$55.73
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$116.33
Spread: Hawks (-14.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Kings vs. Hawks: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Spread: Hornets (-6.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$53.18
Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT2227.3%6 W · 16 L-6.2wins-0.28per pick55cpaid-48.6%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
MLB — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.8
Athletics vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.84
Athletics vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.8
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.52
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.41
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$106.63
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.77
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.77
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.44
San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red Soxbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$69.4
Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.88
New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.62
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.4
Kansas City Royals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$43.45
Boston Red Sox vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Detroit Tigers vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$94.72
Washington Nationals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$36.67
All 22 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Sharks vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$261.82
Sharks vs. Blues: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$49.09
Wild vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Blackhawks vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$45.26
Blackhawks vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Ducks vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$675Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$332.31
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+33.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+44.8%+$80.62
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+94.1%+$150.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: FN Esports vs Team Phantasma (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Hbacked FN Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.