MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27234299b826106199610029a7e70628e84abbf25a53869f8d76acec3f7b9c72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Padresof San Diego Padres, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $274,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $279,883
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $274,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 260 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked San Diego Padres | 41c | 19,946$8,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,768.18 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed San Diego Padres | 60c | 15,117$9,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,049.66 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Boston Red Sox | 31c | 10,598$3,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,279.25 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 10,259$4,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,737.55 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 9,754$5,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,754.86 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Boston Red Sox | 63c | 8,537$5,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,353.07 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Boston Red Sox | 48c | 8,376$4,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,037.01 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Diego Padres | 53c | 6,867$3,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,247.32 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Boston Red Sox | 62c | 6,671$4,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,136.23 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked San Diego Padres | 41c | 6,282$2,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,706.64 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked San Diego Padres | 36c | 6,116$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,894.76 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 6,094$3,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,595.7 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 5,842$2,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,960.63 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 5,207$3,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,043.43 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Boston Red Sox | 77c | 4,195$3,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,248.4 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 4,036$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.6 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked San Diego Padres | 62c | 4,009$2,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.44 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38d…18cebacked Boston Red Sox | 21c | 3,005$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox | 26c | 2,842$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.44 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Boston Red Sox | 13c | 2,773$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.47 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf927…2663backed Boston Red Sox | 25c | 2,664$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed San Diego Padres | 76c | 2,492$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.63 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 2,424$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.06 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 2,206$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.82 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed San Diego Padres | 79c | 2,143$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.65 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked San Diego Padres | 58c | 2,091$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.47 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed San Diego Padres | 65c | 2,081$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.66 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed San Diego Padres | 35c | 1,918$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.68 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Boston Red Sox | 24c | 1,893$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.42 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc510…629abacked San Diego Padres | 42c | 1,851$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.69 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x039c…b202backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 1,765$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.17 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Boston Red Sox | 14c | 1,707$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.23 | 90 | 21.1%19 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba04…310bbacked Boston Red Sox | 23c | 1,392$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.4 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Boston Red Sox | 60c | 1,365$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.78 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Boston Red Sox | 71c | 1,306$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.49 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed San Diego Padres | 73c | 1,267$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.78 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 1,179$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.35 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9959…6ac3backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 1,161$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked San Diego Padres | 57c | 1,110$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.37 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 1,104$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.76 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed San Diego Padres | 39c | 991.97$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.6 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 974.86$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.17 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Boston Red Sox | 42c | 937.86$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.79 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked San Diego Padres | 67c | 862.93$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 826.61$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.7 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 788.63$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.27 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Boston Red Sox | 25c | 764$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 107 | 19.6%21 W · 86 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked San Diego Padres | 50c | 701.44$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.38 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 653.85$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.67 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a0…f673backed San Diego Padres | 72c | 639.08$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.94 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f0…1ebebacked San Diego Padres | 38c | 633.42$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.72 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Boston Red Sox | 62c | 622.66$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.45 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 599.97$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.98 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 580$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.6 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed San Diego Padres | 18c | 555.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.55 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 499.98$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.99 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 488.3$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.86 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked San Diego Padres | 58c | 462.28$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.28 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0960…5adcbacked San Diego Padres | 43c | 449.21$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 447.81$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.21 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Boston Red Sox | 60c | 446.83$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.61 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed Boston Red Sox | 23c | 414.7$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.38 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 406.67$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf7…e64cbacked San Diego Padres | 75c | 394$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0924…c2d8backed San Diego Padres | 27c | 371.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.35 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 367.43$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.42 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…9f8fbacked San Diego Padres | 42c | 350.62$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.36 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 343.13$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.02 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Boston Red Sox | 28c | 341.71$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…7487backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 336.91$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.04 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 330.64$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.08 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked San Diego Padres | 29c | 311.62$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.68 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed San Diego Padres | 74c | 301.4$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.36 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb23b…503fbacked Boston Red Sox | 80c | 300.09$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.5wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Boston Red Sox | 25c | 294.81$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.15 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 291.15$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.97 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked San Diego Padres | 73c | 269.53$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.77 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…ebdbbacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 249.95$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.76 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked San Diego Padres | 33c | 249.82$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.28 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3373…50c4backed Boston Red Sox | 5c | 245.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf85f…0a8cbacked San Diego Padres | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…6a1bbacked San Diego Padres | 41c | 240$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.6 | 363 | 45.7%166 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 239.79$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.79 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 236.41$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.48 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 236.13$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.07 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 234.89$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.89 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed San Diego Padres | 18c | 231.36$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.77 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Boston Red Sox | 27c | 217.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1662…24cebacked Boston Red Sox | 60c | 215.34$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.46 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 213.37$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.62 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 207.81$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.65 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 206.78$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed San Diego Padres | 77c | 206.73$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.01 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Boston Red Sox | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…ab7cbacked San Diego Padres | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7e…06a2backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 193.04$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.96 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red Soxthis page
- San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 11.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 12.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 13.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.