TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1662…24ce

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 52 out of 100; worst Premier League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2642.3%11 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dani Olmo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+126%+$62.99
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+684%+$376.19
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina to score first vs. Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32%+$9.6
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+71.3%+$99.86
Luis Díaz: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.54
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Gonçalo Ramos: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$62.56
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT2548%12 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
San Diego Padres vs. New York Metsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.91
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)backed Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.35
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$33.83
Boston Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+83%+$12.45
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$23.64
Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.62
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.82
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$28.92
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.23
Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$22.41
San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.46
San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red Soxbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$64.01
San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$33.76
Boston Red Sox vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$7.23
All 25 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ASB Classic: Luciano Darderi vs Marcos Gironbacked Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.