MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3303d0046e07e7f21c66de15e866dbf316c36588f92d1bcbfb93c729e596971
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Twinsof Boston Red Sox, Minnesota Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $444,360
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $456,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $444,360 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 271 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 248,068$121,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121,410.59 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 176,604$87,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89,001.6 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 32,977$19,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,606.26 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Boston Red Sox | 1c | 21,180$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.66 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 18,062$10,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,835.05 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Boston Red Sox | 60c | 16,792$10,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,090.12 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 15,136$6,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,081.52 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 12,847$5,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,643.3 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 8,867$4,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,309.96 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 8,800$5,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,280 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Minnesota Twins | 71c | 7,396$5,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,111.95 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Minnesota Twins | 70c | 6,883$4,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.89 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 6,748$2,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,048.8 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Boston Red Sox | 0c | 6,579$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Minnesota Twins | 56c | 6,449$3,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,868.81 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 6,025$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,615 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Boston Red Sox | 3c | 5,454$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.23 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Boston Red Sox | 2c | 5,217$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.84 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 4,278$2,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,383.57 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 4,276$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,540.25 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Minnesota Twins | 56c | 4,056$2,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,782.5 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 3,982$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.79 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 3,592$2,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,155.44 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9876…69f7backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 3,318$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,991.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Boston Red Sox | 60c | 3,154$1,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,895.74 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 2,659$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.95 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 2,405$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.55 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Minnesota Twins | 41c | 2,117$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.27 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Minnesota Twins | 55c | 2,099$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.43 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 2,052$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.47 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Boston Red Sox | 60c | 1,981$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.77 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Boston Red Sox | 7c | 1,592$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.54 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Minnesota Twins | 55c | 1,543$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.43 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Minnesota Twins | 61c | 1,458$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.58 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Minnesota Twins | 41c | 1,447$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.31 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f3…b430backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 1,438$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.16 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 1,406$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.13 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 1,327$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.26 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Minnesota Twins | 55c | 1,327$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.26 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 1,327$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.26 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Minnesota Twins | 55c | 1,327$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.26 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 1,209$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.23 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 1,145$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.93 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 1,105$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.18 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Minnesota Twins | 64c | 1,100$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.04 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 1,088$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.8 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Minnesota Twins | 55c | 1,081$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.45 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Minnesota Twins | 64c | 1,072$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.24 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Boston Red Sox | 29c | 986.73$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.59 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 907.79$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.89 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 894.31$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.53 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 884.55$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.05 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 884.55$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.05 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 884.46$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.01 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b45…d196backed Boston Red Sox | 20c | 879.7$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.94 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 870.39$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.12 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 861.33$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.27 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 777.02$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.21 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 769.55$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.3 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 723.45$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.84 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 723$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.8 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Minnesota Twins | 67c | 680.98$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.75 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 628.67$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 602.5$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.5 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Minnesota Twins | 55c | 594.21$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.39 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…3de8backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 585.6$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.36 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 579.98$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 570.33$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.9 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…e828backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 568.08$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.61 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 563.17$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.37 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 560$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.8 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Boston Red Sox | 25c | 557.05$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.81 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8b…b98bbacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 542.57$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 530.73$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.83 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 486.5$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.92 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…cddebacked Boston Red Sox | 35c | 474.16$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 432.01$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.96 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…5983backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 421.31$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 406.67$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe226…95a5backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 382.54$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.03 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 368.94$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.05 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8200…8444backed Boston Red Sox | 6c | 361.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Minnesota Twins | 55c | 353.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.22 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Minnesota Twins | 55c | 350.77$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.11 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 350.77$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.11 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Minnesota Twins | 41c | 347.35$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.94 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 340$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Minnesota Twins | 57c | 339.99$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.26 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Boston Red Sox | 60c | 338.96$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.37 | 143 | 58%83 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…cfbfbacked Minnesota Twins | 58c | 309.46$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.97 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d62…eaf3backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 306.65$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.25 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…6a1bbacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 363 | 45.7%166 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c5…b290backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 284.99$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Minnesota Twins | 41c | 284.61$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.89 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Minnesota Twins | 60c | 276.71$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.93 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe884…d1e9backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 273.28$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf50f…0586backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 270.56$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.63 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.7wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsthis page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 19.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-10.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-6.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-7.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-9.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota TwinsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.