MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9e08e9f84465fa1627a61a62abebabfe03d742cb78048af84240c3d7271b03b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 48c | 32,400$15,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,428.07 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 48c | 13,985$6,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,271.97 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 52c | 13,474$7,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,465.78 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 52c | 10,075$5,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,239.12 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 53c | 9,079$4,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,267.12 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…4959backed Over | 52c | 2,624$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Over | 52c | 2,241$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.79 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 2,202$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.92 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 52c | 1,942$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.05 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Under | 52c | 1,830$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.45 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…78bfbacked Over | 49c | 1,681$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.53 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.15 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 50c | 1,582$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.41 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 52c | 1,414$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.73 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 52c | 1,129$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.19 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 1,023$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.71 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 52c | 867.54$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.42 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Over | 53c | 791.31$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.91 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 50c | 783.6$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.34 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 51c | 768.89$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.76 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 52c | 746.85$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.36 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Under | 52c | 689.55$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.57 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 48c | 660$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.2 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…0d11backed Over | 52c | 653.69$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.77 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Over | 48c | 605.5$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.86 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 593.51$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.98 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 52c | 485.6$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.51 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 52c | 475.05$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.46 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Under | 54c | 450.19$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.1 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 52c | 398.04$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.9 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Under | 52c | 388.48$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.01 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 364.04$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.36 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 40c | 266.9$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.69 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 46c | 264.37$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.61 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 50c | 261.18$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.77 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 50c | 261.18$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.77 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 50c | 261.18$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.77 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 50c | 250$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.75 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 52c | 249.58$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.17 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 51c | 237.8$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.28 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 48c | 203.08$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Over | 49c | 193.88$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.88 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb6…8af4backed Under | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 54c | 126.05$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.98 | 335 | 47.5%159 W · 176 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Over | 53c | 112.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.09 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 52c | 105.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.23 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 52c | 88.53$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 50c | 75.01$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 52c | 67.23$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 47c | 65.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 64c | 64.25$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…ea91backed Over | 49c | 60.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf05f…91d5backed Over | 52c | 56.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +5.0wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Under | 52c | 55.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 27c | 54.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c87…623abacked Under | 52c | 54.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdf…5761backed Over | 54c | 54.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Under | 49c | 51.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc631…2ddabacked Over | 49c | 51.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under | 48c | 51.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 52c | 49.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Over | 61c | 46.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 51c | 46.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Over | 51c | 45.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Over | 53c | 44.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Over | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Over | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 252 | 56.7%143 W · 109 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x669b…6557backed Under | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 50c | 38.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 50c | 36.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9970…e8c5backed Under | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 53c | 34.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Over | 49c | 34.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked Under | 50c | 31.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ee…0f22backed Under | 50c | 31.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Under | 52c | 30.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe503…6d7bbacked Over | 48c | 30.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +5.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Under | 50c | 30.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ad…71acbacked Over | 47c | 28.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -8.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1a…e414backed Under | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…ed10backed Under | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa656…2c19backed Over | 52c | 26.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…6519backed Under | 52c | 26.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 49c | 26.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 53c | 24.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…9598backed Over | 49c | 23.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9996…6810backed Under | 52c | 20.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa05…00a0backed Over | 52c | 20.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2f…1b25backed Over | 57c | 19.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Over | 53c | 19.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…d45bbacked Over | 53c | 19.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cc…3132backed Over | 53c | 19.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 71c | 18.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5this page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota TwinsMinnesota Twins won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 19.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-10.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-6.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-7.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-9.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota TwinsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.