TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe503…6d7b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
87
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: MLB, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 62 out of 100; worst Asian League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT2272.7%16 W · 6 L+5.2wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+45.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
MLB — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kansas City Royals vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$24
Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.65
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.18
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.34
Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$22.72
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.34
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$17.73
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+92.7%+$13.5
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.39
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.74
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$12.93
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+97%+$14.12
San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.17
San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.74
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.99
Athletics vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.45
Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.02
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.2
All 22 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.23
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.25
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+85.6%+$47.06
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.31
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.07
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.53
Athletic Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.59
FC Barcelona vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.17
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.14
Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+400%+$80
Will Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
Everton FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.93
Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.34
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-56.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$48.95
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.06
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.44
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.32
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.03
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+64.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karolina Pliskova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Karolina Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.32
Madrid Open: Terence Atmane vs Alexander Zverevbacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.67
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CD Tondela vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+203%+$29.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+79.5%+$15.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-1.5)backed Seattle Sounders FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.