Serie A · resolved market
Pisa SC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67c850a147f41671d6bbe59f0f91121676a1ef921b8e666fc02344ad45145b85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 66c | 1,977$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.25 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 34c | 1,623$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.39 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Over | 66c | 1,551$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 66c | 1,227$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.97 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 57c | 1,030$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.08 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 36c | 1,001$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.74 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1af0…6dd7backed Over | 66c | 901.29$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 34c | 429.3$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.96 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Over | 68c | 387.28$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.93 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Over | 68c | 387.28$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.93 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 35c | 381.7$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.6 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 64c | 252.89$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.04 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 34c | 236.51$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.41 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 35c | 224$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 66c | 223.8$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.28 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 34c | 205.73$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.33 | 141 | 59.6%84 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 54c | 200.95$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.44 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0454…859ebacked Over | 65c | 191.36$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.97 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 64c | 180$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 34c | 174.79$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.43 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Over | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 158.12$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.57 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 34c | 152.8$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.95 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Under | 34c | 141.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 34c | 141.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0293…f15bbacked Over | 65c | 136.13$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.64 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 17c | 125.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 67c | 122.73$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 64c | 109.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 66c | 99.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 69c | 98.14$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed Over | 56c | 91.52$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 79c | 91.24$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 34c | 89.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 34c | 89.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 34c | 89.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 36c | 80.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 34c | 70.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 103 | 58.3%60 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 34c | 61.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 35c | 61.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 32c | 59.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 76 | 65.8%50 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ee…31aebacked Under | 36c | 50.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Over | 64c | 48.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…d8b4backed Under | 34c | 46.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 65c | 45.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 34c | 40.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 65c | 40.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe503…6d7bbacked Under | 36c | 40.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked Over | 64c | 39.58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 34c | 37.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed Under | 32c | 34.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 32c | 31.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7920…538ebacked Over | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 65c | 16.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 67cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pisa SC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5this page
- Pisa SC vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Pisa SC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Pisa SC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Pisa SC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Genoa CFC (-1.5)Pisa SC won
- Spread: Pisa SC (-1.5)Genoa CFC won
- Spread: Pisa SC (-2.5)Genoa CFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.