TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc3ee…31ae

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
115
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst World Politics at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT6445.3%29 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.86
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+337.4%+$56.52
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+122%+$45.23
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.84
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.79
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+40.7%+$8.52
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+704.4%+$79.48
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.43
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$5.28
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+179.9%+$38.66
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.83
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$6.21
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on May 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$7.98
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.97
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.92
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.94
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$7.03
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on April 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.21
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on April 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+186%+$20.55
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on April 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.89
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on April 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.29
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on April 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.84
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on April 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$3.84
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.86
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on April 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.77
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+22.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.25
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.13
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+86.5%+$28.38
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$29.77
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+195.8%+$62.57
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+76.4%+$26.72
Grizzlies vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.74
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$12.12
Suns vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$27.83
Trail Blazers vs. 76ersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.01
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+34%+$39.1
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.48
Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$11.25
Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+103%+$15.45
All 17 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick70cpaid-46.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.52
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+168.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Busan: Leandro Riedi vs Yunchaokete Bubacked Leandro Riedi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+168.1%+$47.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vålerenga Fotball vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+85.5%+$45.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.