Premier League · resolved market
Ipswich Town FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8b9669ecd492f6e4e88bf591ef6bad5c85081800720cabe41c815f9106a49ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,263
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,263 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc418…5e1ebacked Over | 56c | 5,358$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357.44 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Under | 1c | 5,322$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.22 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 48c | 4,076$1,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,111.88 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 3,307$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.73 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 52c | 2,887$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d8…6052backed Under | 42c | 1,800$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Under | 72c | 902.78$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Under | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 29c | 672.19$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.2 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 45c | 624.65$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe29f…b2f0backed Under | 62c | 598.37$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…8e51backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 34c | 321.03$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.88 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Over | 46c | 280.3$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.36 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 276.69$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.06 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Under | 57c | 265.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…e0c1backed Under | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1384…2c75backed Under | 49c | 246.65$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5155…7b9fbacked Under | 50c | 241.74$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9659…1ba2backed Under | 51c | 237.3$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 29c | 203.57$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 60c | 191.09$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.03 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5d…d917backed Under | 55c | 182.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 69c | 165.36$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.87 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe461…2a69backed Over | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Under | 44c | 113.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 57c | 101.49$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.64 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d3…cbf2backed Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.25per pick | 44cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2e…5b64backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 50c | 94.34$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.17 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43c7…d727backed Under | 49c | 73.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 35c | 66.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.3 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Under | 56c | 62.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…ba8fbacked Over | 30c | 54.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.37 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 71c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb29a…bbdebacked Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…da39backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Over | 32c | 43.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 71c | 43.64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8293…aaeebacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…c6ccbacked Under | 72c | 41.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Over | 61c | 37.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Over | 61c | 34.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 52c | 32.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Under | 47c | 29.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over | 55c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354f…95f8backed Under | 44c | 26.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ee…31aebacked Over | 44c | 25.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…3773backed Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 61c | 22.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 129 | 68.2%88 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Under | 74c | 20.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -7.2wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 53c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…f3babacked Under | 70c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)Middlesbrough FC won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)Ipswich Town FC won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-2.5)Ipswich Town FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.