Premier League · resolved market
Ipswich Town FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03f2575e7d589dfa6fdfbde75c2f866e59d88ab0e5f722ce68c4687e60437ed9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,914
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,914 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 3,898$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930.31 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Over | 55c | 1,490$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.47 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 1,153$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.44 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 52c | 1,049$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.36 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e2…0d29backed Over | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 48c | 838.91$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 50c | 457.92$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.38 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 62c | 454.88$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.85 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Over | 50c | 439.85$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.93 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 418.16$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.3 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed Over | 50c | 406.7$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.35 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 394.73$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.05 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69c…890ebacked Over | 49c | 345.16$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65a0…2a86backed Over | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 40c | 252.78$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.15 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 51c | 223.8$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.66 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29f…b2f0backed Under | 21c | 216.12$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.39 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Under | 44c | 210$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 179 | 59.8%107 W · 72 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under | 44c | 210$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d3…cbf2backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.25per pick | 44cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 49c | 200$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 157 | 38.9%61 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under | 44c | 185$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fb…70b1backed Under | 14c | 176.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…718dbacked Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 79c | 170.39$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 51c | 169.07$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.46 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 50c | 163.13$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.99 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Under | 55c | 146.52$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…e0c1backed Under | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 45c | 122.8$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.26 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 44c | 104.25$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.87 | 143 | 54.5%78 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 191 | 45%86 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 57c | 95.47$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.84 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 51c | 79.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Over | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 78c | 63.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd41…5afebacked Over | 74c | 58.11$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b4…01fdbacked Over | 52c | 57.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe811…ded3backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65c9…0d57backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 46c | 46.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3227…5df7backed Over | 53c | 45.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 51c | 43.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 189 | 61.9%117 W · 72 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 50c | 40.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 221 | 46.2%102 W · 119 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 208 | 64.9%135 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 72c | 36.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 78c | 34.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 69c | 33.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 79c | 31.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 202 | 59.9%121 W · 81 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed Over | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…7d31backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 357 | 43.1%154 W · 203 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1be5…9d53backed Over | 54c | 24.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 48c | 23.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…1805backed Under | 47c | 23.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7094…a734backed Under | 47c | 21.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 76c | 20.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 129 | 68.2%88 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77e6…0ae1backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…ba8fbacked Over | 53c | 18.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)Middlesbrough FC won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)Ipswich Town FC won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-2.5)Ipswich Town FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.