TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1df2…1805

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Asian League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 56 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.15
76ers vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.42
Spread: Pelicans (-9.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$96.89
Jazz vs. Kings: 1H O/U 112.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$306.94
1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$174.08
1H Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$98.78
Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 19.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$70.58
Thunder vs. Knicks: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$43.81
Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$39.68
Hornets vs. Bulls: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$31.1
Celtics vs. Lakers: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$73.09
Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 121.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+108.3%+$71.18
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-37.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.15
Oilers vs. Utah: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$6.43
Canadiens vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.03
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)backed Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$66.77
Spread: Utah (-1.5)backed Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.04
Sharks vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.66
KHL: Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk vs. Traktorbacked Traktor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.35
Flames vs. Kings: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.59
AHL: Hershey Bears vs. Laval Rocketbacked Hershey Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$97.46
KHL: Amur Khabarovsk vs. Traktorbacked Traktor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+66.7%+$27.72
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-63%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+72.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: GIANTX GC vs Twisted Minds Orchid (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffsbacked Twisted Minds Orchid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.93
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$352.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5)backed Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.05
Dallas Wings vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 173.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$17.6
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+51.5%+$45.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-1.5)backed NAC Breda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$44.68
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. AVS Futebol: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$30.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Holstein Kiel vs. 1. FC Nürnberg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$76.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Getafe CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+42.9%+$57.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. FC Bayern Munchenbacked FC Bayern Munchen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: 1win vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$314.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Inter Miami CF vs. Austin FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$28.57
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.