Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: GIANTX GC vs Twisted Minds Orchid (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b1326a8865fdfc318ea5a2a21d8ee2462cae5c2fcb83643d4d55216cb5933a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GIANTX GCof GIANTX GC, Twisted Minds Orchid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,194
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5c8…84a6backed GIANTX GC | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 231 | 51.9%120 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 48c | 208.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…de80backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 16c | 187.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc9…a64cbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 40c | 172$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked GIANTX GC | 78c | 165.06$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.69 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed3…983fbacked GIANTX GC | 54c | 116.21$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 44c | 114.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.78 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 31c | 106.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed GIANTX GC | 52c | 104.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 230 | 55.7%128 W · 102 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed GIANTX GC | 59c | 99.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed GIANTX GC | 52c | 98.58$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.32 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 40c | 98.3$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed GIANTX GC | 54c | 92.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.36 | 115 | 64.3%74 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked GIANTX GC | 60c | 64.84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 306 | 52.3%160 W · 146 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…1805backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 46c | 58.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 41c | 58.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -11.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77a5…56f3backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 46c | 57.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 41c | 52.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 40c | 50.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked GIANTX GC | 70c | 42.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38b7…cfa7backed GIANTX GC | 69c | 42.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5e…e107backed GIANTX GC | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x429e…41bdbacked GIANTX GC | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0550…39e0backed GIANTX GC | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.