La Liga · resolved market
Getafe CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a6a93d83291caa981f0706530d3af4f1db53b440699ad62d9553d6aa630f857
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,691
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdce3…9d85backed Over | 29c | 3,195$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.73 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 29c | 3,088$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.52 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 77c | 3,018$2,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.53 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Over | 12c | 2,368$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.43 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 70c | 1,707$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.89 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 28c | 1,422$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.29 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Over | 32c | 1,238$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 27c | 1,122$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.98 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 7c | 1,021$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.28 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 14c | 999$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.86 | 191 | 30.4%58 W · 133 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Over | 17c | 994.65$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.49 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 31c | 800$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 72c | 752.39$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.67 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 31c | 691.94$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.5 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c77…63c4backed Over | 28c | 575.29$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 71c | 563.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.38 | 95 | 64.2%61 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 28c | 467$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.76 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 22c | 382.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.28 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabc1…eaa0backed Over | 30c | 367.82$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Under | 68c | 325.33$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.11 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb903…9942backed Under | 80c | 312.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 33c | 301.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 28c | 299.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.44 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 72c | 234.79$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.83 | 622 | 58%361 W · 261 L | +44.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 80c | 213.14$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 21c | 212.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Under | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…1805backed Under | 70c | 192.19$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked Over | 28c | 164.29$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb672…456fbacked Over | 18c | 149.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 16c | 145.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 27c | 140.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…0795backed Under | 70c | 135.53$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x657e…e62fbacked Over | 28c | 123.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 28c | 120$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Over | 31c | 106.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 28c | 96.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 1,529 | 38.5%588 W · 941 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a93…36babacked Over | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 70c | 70.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 71c | 70.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 174 | 55.2%96 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 288 | 46.5%134 W · 154 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Over | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1aa…071abacked Over | 32c | 65.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 31c | 65.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 30c | 63.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Over | 31c | 62.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 215 | 54%116 W · 99 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f64…6ddfbacked Under | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 31c | 62.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 18c | 58.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5649…99adbacked Over | 32c | 46.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Over | 28c | 46.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 66c | 43.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5955…f86ebacked Under | 70c | 40.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d49…5ecebacked Over | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Over | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 79c | 23.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 70c | 20.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 67c | 15.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Getafe CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Getafe CF vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Getafe CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Getafe CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Getafe CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.