TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xabc1…eaa0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
38
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Dota2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$31.7
Hawks vs. Mavericks: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$52.86
Suns vs. Raptors: 1H Moneylinebacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.76
Spread: Hawks (-14.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.07
DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$24.71
LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 19.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.35
Knicks vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 112.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$82.07
Magic vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$193.48
Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$38.75
Nuggets vs. Thunder: 1H Moneylinebacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$31.8
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$109.72
All 11 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+27.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+60.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+93.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back - Game 2 Winnerbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$35.87
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$355.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Senatorsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$67.54
Spread: Kraken (-1.5)backed Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$41.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seattle Redhawks (-8.5)backed Seattle Redhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+127.3%+$135.79
Evansville Aces vs. Murray State Racers: O/U 153.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$11.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$15.34
Getafe CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$110.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$15.1
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)backed Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Balance Sheet" during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$38.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kristiansund BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$39.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sporting Kansas City vs. Columbus Crew: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$18.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: BOOM Esports vs NAOS Esports (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Group Abacked NAOS Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
HNK Rijeka vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$19.85
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.