NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Senators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83ce6ac55f89531c9d8cd849a88d82fd839444b8c259ce63974a41c138f92b45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canadiensof Canadiens, Senators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,193,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,193,464 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 759 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Senators | 61c | 328,555$201,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201,936.36 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Senators | 62c | 274,402$171,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171,362.53 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Canadiens | 38c | 160,856$60,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,298.02 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Canadiens | 38c | 94,420$35,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,434.79 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Canadiens | 36c | 55,600$20,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,583.96 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Canadiens | 37c | 51,979$19,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,680.61 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens | 37c | 48,328$18,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,290.96 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Canadiens | 38c | 36,963$13,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,968.09 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Senators | 64c | 34,750$22,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,239.88 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Canadiens | 38c | 32,777$12,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,429.88 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Canadiens | 36c | 31,655$11,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,261.63 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Canadiens | 36c | 30,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,199.96 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Canadiens | 40c | 27,706$11,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,623.8 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Senators | 64c | 26,500$16,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,959.82 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Canadiens | 37c | 24,030$8,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,138.9 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Canadiens | 39c | 18,000$6,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,000.76 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked Canadiens | 38c | 17,102$6,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,687.44 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x74e5…6f4ebacked Canadiens | 37c | 15,060$5,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,487.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Canadiens | 37c | 13,515$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,514.95 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Canadiens | 37c | 12,500$4,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,849.98 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Senators | 64c | 11,485$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,349.96 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…deb1backed Canadiens | 38c | 10,179$3,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,271.24 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Canadiens | 38c | 10,160$3,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,312.61 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Canadiens | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,300.3 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Senators | 62c | 10,000$6,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,199.39 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -12.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…cfcabacked Canadiens | 36c | 9,797$3,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,234.14 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Senators | 64c | 9,375$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Canadiens | 37c | 9,000$3,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,670 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…cb68backed Canadiens | 40c | 7,200$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,319.99 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Canadiens | 37c | 7,051$2,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,442.19 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…a339backed Canadiens | 38c | 7,003$2,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,372.27 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Canadiens | 36c | 6,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,839.99 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Senators | 65c | 5,925$3,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,851.2 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Senators | 64c | 5,782$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Canadiens | 37c | 5,317$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,374.83 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Canadiens | 37c | 5,174$1,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,283.61 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Canadiens | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Canadiens | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000.24 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Senators | 64c | 4,688$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Senators | 18c | 4,678$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.53 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Canadiens | 46c | 4,628$2,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,501.86 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Senators | 65c | 4,500$2,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,919.49 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Senators | 63c | 4,335$2,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,730.74 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Senators | 50c | 4,028$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,013.72 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Canadiens | 36c | 4,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Senators | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.99 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Canadiens | 39c | 4,000$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,432.7 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Canadiens | 36c | 3,971$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,540.04 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x886e…afd6backed Canadiens | 37c | 3,914$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,465.51 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Canadiens | 40c | 3,713$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,227.5 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Senators | 60c | 3,699$2,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,228.9 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…04b7backed Senators | 63c | 3,678$2,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,334.27 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Canadiens | 38c | 3,500$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Canadiens | 36c | 3,438$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,187.24 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c6…75adbacked Canadiens | 38c | 3,256$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,033.94 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Senators | 77c | 3,239$2,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,504.95 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Senators | 64c | 3,126$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Canadiens | 36c | 2,930$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.23 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x039c…b202backed Canadiens | 37c | 2,850$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.87 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…c4a0backed Senators | 47c | 2,620$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.31 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Canadiens | 39c | 2,588$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.71 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Canadiens | 37c | 2,501$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.63 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Canadiens | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Senators | 64c | 2,500$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.42 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens | 37c | 2,500$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.5 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…d6b7backed Senators | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.99 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a17…1b84backed Senators | 62c | 2,421$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Senators | 64c | 2,309$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.17 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Senators | 22c | 2,172$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.44 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…ab58backed Canadiens | 38c | 2,138$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.7 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Canadiens | 36c | 1,900$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.99 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Canadiens | 36c | 1,817$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.01 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Senators | 56c | 1,765$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.8 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Canadiens | 36c | 1,749$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.07 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…3f07backed Canadiens | 28c | 1,698$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.49 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -42%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Canadiens | 25c | 1,691$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Canadiens | 37c | 1,690$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.72 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Senators | 58c | 1,662$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.07 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Canadiens | 69c | 1,587$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.83 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Senators | 64c | 1,565$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.6 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Canadiens | 60c | 1,532$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.9 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ff…24e3backed Canadiens | 41c | 1,512$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.2 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Canadiens | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Canadiens | 37c | 1,427$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.72 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed Canadiens | 40c | 1,415$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.85 | 287 | 45.3%130 W · 157 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Canadiens | 37c | 1,411$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.08 | 156 | 51.3%80 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Senators | 64c | 1,406$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Canadiens | 36c | 1,390$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.9 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b7…1dd8backed Canadiens | 37c | 1,380$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x688c…2482backed Canadiens | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Canadiens | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.05 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Canadiens | 77c | 1,200$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.42 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Canadiens | 42c | 1,180$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.89 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Canadiens | 39c | 1,141$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.83 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Canadiens | 38c | 1,133$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.25 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Canadiens | 37c | 1,128$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.54 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Senators | 64c | 1,111$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.04 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Canadiens | 38c | 1,082$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.63 | 369 | 48%177 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f8…dc5dbacked Canadiens | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.48 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Senators | 1c | 1,065$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadiens vs. Senatorsthis page
- Canadiens vs. Senators: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Senators: O/U 5.5Under won
- Canadiens vs. Senators: O/U 6.5Under won
- Canadiens vs. Senators: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.