NHL · resolved market
Spread: Senators (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03f4e2af737f3b926459f1823c78b2548c566bcaff3120b38a5a2bba93a0ae96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canadiensof Senators, Canadiens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,102
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,102 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Canadiens | 60c | 15,500$9,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,250 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Canadiens | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300.39 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -12.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Senators | 41c | 5,950$2,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,437.93 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Senators | 42c | 5,904$2,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,472.07 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Senators | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.99 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Senators | 41c | 4,775$1,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960.83 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Senators | 46c | 4,127$1,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,898.44 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Senators | 40c | 2,961$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.21 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Senators | 42c | 2,380$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.22 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Canadiens | 60c | 2,035$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.06 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x753b…7ff5backed Senators | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Canadiens | 59c | 1,857$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.26 | 156 | 51.3%80 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…bc82backed Senators | 3c | 1,489$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 5cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Senators | 42c | 1,433$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.56 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Senators | 45c | 1,378$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.03 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Canadiens | 58c | 1,351$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.66 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Senators | 42c | 1,291$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Canadiens | 60c | 1,050$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.08 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked Senators | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2590…e38ebacked Senators | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 4cpaid | +971.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x966d…eaa5backed Canadiens | 59c | 999.99$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.99 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Senators | 40c | 999.97$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Senators | 40c | 704.89$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.47 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Senators | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Senators | 36c | 366.86$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.25 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Senators | 24c | 311.35$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.72 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Senators | 45c | 307$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.63 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10cc…9816backed Canadiens | 64c | 296$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1caf…abb2backed Canadiens | 64c | 295$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…9ae9backed Canadiens | 59c | 256.47$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.15 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Senators | 42c | 254.85$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.76 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Senators | 29c | 253$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.57 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6493…a2e0backed Senators | 36c | 247$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d1…6178backed Senators | 36c | 243$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…6780backed Senators | 36c | 238$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Senators | 39c | 236.07$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.53 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Canadiens | 48c | 231.3$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.3 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82c7…7056backed Canadiens | 64c | 231$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…66b9backed Canadiens | 64c | 225$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a6…10a5backed Senators | 36c | 212$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf619…2133backed Canadiens | 64c | 209$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Senators | 40c | 188.02$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.61 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac2…64f9backed Senators | 36c | 188$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Senators | 41c | 188$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.07 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f69…51debacked Canadiens | 64c | 178$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1479…b778backed Senators | 42c | 167.06$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc10…82dabacked Senators | 36c | 156$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…09b0backed Senators | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Canadiens | 59c | 149$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.09 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Senators | 41c | 142.23$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.74 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Canadiens | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Senators | 48c | 132$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.94 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Senators | 38c | 131.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Senators | 39c | 128.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Senators | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Senators | 42c | 124.4$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.41 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Senators | 39c | 119$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Canadiens | 60c | 116.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Canadiens | 58c | 115.87$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.56 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Senators | 46c | 114.34$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Canadiens | 60c | 113.3$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 215 | 60.9%131 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Senators | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd71…6714backed Canadiens | 60c | 100.04$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Canadiens | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…5da2backed Canadiens | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Canadiens | 61c | 92.5$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Senators | 38c | 92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.21 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Senators | 41c | 91.24$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Canadiens | 60c | 89.53$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.81 | 266 | 57.9%154 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Canadiens | 60c | 85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Senators | 27c | 83.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Senators | 41c | 75.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d94…954ebacked Senators | 42c | 71.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Senators | 25c | 63.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Senators | 25c | 59.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Canadiens | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…08bbbacked Senators | 41c | 47.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Canadiens | 60c | 46.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 799 | 56.1%448 W · 351 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bb…74fcbacked Senators | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…d87bbacked Senators | 40c | 39.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed Senators | 37c | 39.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…020dbacked Senators | 41c | 38.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Senators | 49c | 37.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Canadiens | 59c | 35.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Canadiens | 60c | 35.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 211 | 58.8%124 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Canadiens | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6f…f414backed Canadiens | 62c | 34.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5467…ffffbacked Canadiens | 60c | 33.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Canadiens | 60c | 33.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…b257backed Canadiens | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcffd…7f24backed Canadiens | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe23…e72bbacked Senators | 35c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Canadiens | 64c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Canadiens | 61c | 25.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Canadiens | 63c | 25.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Canadiens | 60c | 23.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…7014backed Canadiens | 63c | 18.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)this page
- Canadiens vs. SenatorsCanadiens won
- Canadiens vs. Senators: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Senators: O/U 5.5Under won
- Canadiens vs. Senators: O/U 6.5Under won
- Canadiens vs. Senators: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.