NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Senators: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf33dcfa6acd4b291946db7ba58f026ff4fbcd5d32ccb081869b7bda673e094c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,593 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 52c | 21,880$11,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,570.08 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 12,377$6,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,039.81 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf654…2124backed Under | 50c | 10,002$5,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,001 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1497…02c5backed Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Under | 51c | 6,594$3,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,235.49 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 5,496$2,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,675.75 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 51c | 5,334$2,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,709.79 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2c…e12bbacked Under | 49c | 3,919$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…0f0fbacked Over | 51c | 3,919$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 52c | 3,893$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.44 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 50c | 3,092$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.55 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 49c | 2,686$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.2 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x027a…f23abacked Under | 50c | 2,640$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 49c | 1,688$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.01 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 49c | 1,300$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Over | 50c | 1,037$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.08 | 156 | 51.3%80 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under | 52c | 1,028$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.44 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Under | 48c | 899.98$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.99 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 48c | 735.92$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.15 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Under | 51c | 727.69$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.26 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 52c | 721$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.47 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 688.4$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.99 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb00a…c58cbacked Under | 50c | 660$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Under | 50c | 640.04$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.87 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 49c | 619.99$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.37 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 49c | 499.98$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.99 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 49c | 399.81$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.29 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 53c | 398.39$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c4…fa69backed Under | 48c | 347$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3a…1352backed Over | 52c | 338.53$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3dd…8328backed Over | 52c | 335.68$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ab…8d18backed Under | 48c | 335$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c1…05dcbacked Over | 52c | 319.25$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 49c | 318.8$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.23 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c46…5994backed Over | 52c | 312.12$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 52c | 310$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.2 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Over | 48c | 310$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.8 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 303.02$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.45 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 50c | 302$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.68 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Under | 51c | 300.26$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.13 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1acc…2642backed Under | 48c | 296$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc96…bb50backed Over | 52c | 294.47$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 51c | 288.55$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.12 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 50c | 287$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.5 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e42…debabacked Under | 48c | 286$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f6…8e82backed Under | 48c | 284$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ef…24a2backed Over | 52c | 283.32$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…15fcbacked Over | 52c | 276.1$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…6f39backed Under | 48c | 273$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fd…8edbbacked Under | 48c | 271$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cb…c829backed Under | 48c | 265$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b7…401dbacked Under | 48c | 263$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a7…6d1dbacked Over | 52c | 251.9$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe623…0155backed Over | 52c | 247.75$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9783…45bbbacked Under | 48c | 246$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cac…1695backed Under | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd250…0f08backed Over | 52c | 206.88$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Over | 49c | 202.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…6e84backed Over | 52c | 192.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170d…5dc3backed Under | 50c | 184$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…a83dbacked Under | 48c | 181.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8d…b546backed Under | 49c | 175$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 51c | 170.03$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.66 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 50c | 168.84$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 50c | 164.24$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.33 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeccd…d100backed Over | 52c | 161.91$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.17 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf119…0045backed Under | 49c | 160$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Under | 50c | 159$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Over | 49c | 155.81$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.78 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fd…ac40backed Under | 50c | 149.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 50c | 141.01$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.43 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a29…288ebacked Under | 48c | 134$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.76 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 122.49$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 49c | 120.17$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.63 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Over | 51c | 114.41$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 337 | 56.4%190 W · 147 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…daebbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 50c | 101$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850b…5493backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 285 | 42.8%122 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 51c | 81.57$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ff…09d5backed Over | 52c | 79$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8b…73fbbacked Over | 52c | 77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Over | 52c | 76.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 46c | 72.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 52c | 70.54$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Under | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 349 | 49.9%174 W · 175 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x804e…6458backed Over | 50c | 69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd90…7b44backed Over | 52c | 69$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Over | 55c | 64.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 432 | 56.5%244 W · 188 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa2…8351backed Over | 52c | 63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x503e…b3e3backed Over | 52c | 61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a0…f721backed Over | 50c | 60.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadiens vs. Senators: O/U 6.5this page
- Canadiens vs. SenatorsCanadiens won
- Canadiens vs. Senators: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Senators: O/U 5.5Under won
- Canadiens vs. Senators: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.