NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Senators: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x009ed0e2a23ee280ca344c8b51bf9afa6383cb887519e410b0ffd371064a548c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,972
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,972 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 63c | 3,806$2,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,401.67 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 36c | 3,500$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.94 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 64c | 2,258$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.54 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 37c | 1,550$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.84 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Under | 37c | 1,246$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.37 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Over | 63c | 1,213$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.64 | 156 | 51.3%80 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 37c | 875.81$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.38 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x672a…abb7backed Over | 64c | 818.75$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 44c | 761.52$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.62 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…c665backed Over | 64c | 755.32$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -5.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 37c | 682.96$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.41 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 36c | 623.32$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.12 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…2a64backed Over | 64c | 562.64$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 37c | 542.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.01 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 68c | 457.21$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.19 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 22c | 391.75$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.92 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 39c | 368.98$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.58 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Over | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 252 | 58.3%147 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9b…e631backed Over | 60c | 310$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8177…51d8backed Over | 60c | 258$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee69…c727backed Over | 60c | 256$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 37c | 216.28$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.21 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1256…d7c0backed Over | 60c | 210$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 42c | 208.9$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.74 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 39c | 205.55$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.39 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca30…ae0ebacked Over | 60c | 198$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 38c | 190$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.8 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0312…83b7backed Under | 40c | 180$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 60c | 177.61$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.22 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34e…0e59backed Under | 40c | 171$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5714…3288backed Under | 40c | 169$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…add7backed Under | 40c | 169$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 21c | 163.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.85 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 36c | 160$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.4 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9911…ee33backed Under | 40c | 159$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Over | 64c | 156.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe195…d5a8backed Under | 38c | 151$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fd…1934backed Under | 40c | 139$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d5…3aa8backed Under | 37c | 139$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +171%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00b…b8a1backed Under | 38c | 132$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa184…be70backed Under | 38c | 132$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…24cabacked Under | 38c | 129$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c5…f1e7backed Under | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa8…56d0backed Under | 40c | 120$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d44…7b3cbacked Under | 37c | 119$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 29cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c2…a192backed Under | 37c | 119$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +120.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 57c | 110$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 36c | 107.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.12 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…8a3bbacked Over | 64c | 101.56$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x306f…01c7backed Over | 60c | 99.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 55c | 93.7$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.53 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 63c | 79.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Under | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.43 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03a8…715bbacked Over | 63c | 71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 64c | 70.31$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Over | 64c | 69.28$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 211 | 58.8%124 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 79c | 68$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.72 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 37c | 67.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 67c | 67.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.93 | 234 | 50%117 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Over | 77c | 65.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.57 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…d87bbacked Under | 37c | 65.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 51c | 64.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 64c | 62.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 70cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9607…9144backed Over | 64c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e0…375abacked Over | 64c | 56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf342…1e14backed Over | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.39per pick | 50cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa83d…7dacbacked Over | 63c | 55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 37c | 54.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf355…5ab7backed Under | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +8.5wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x34c8…d6ddbacked Over | 64c | 53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae8a…080fbacked Over | 63c | 52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Under | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…fe0ebacked Over | 63c | 47.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9f…4b15backed Over | 64c | 47.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Over | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4f…dd07backed Over | 64c | 45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf23…567abacked Over | 64c | 42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb782…727cbacked Over | 63c | 42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 37c | 41.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850b…5493backed Under | 36c | 39.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042e…4c0cbacked Over | 63c | 39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e6…1614backed Over | 64c | 38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 66c | 35.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 38c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73dd…d759backed Over | 63c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc139…dd51backed Over | 64c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95f…357fbacked Under | 37c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…dfdbbacked Over | 63c | 34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 38c | 32.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45ca…9dd0backed Over | 64c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Under | 37c | 31.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…7511backed Over | 52c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 75c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 266 | 57.1%152 W · 114 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Under | 39c | 29.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed Under | 37c | 28.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…0b88backed Over | 68c | 28.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.27per pick | 40cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 73c | 27.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 75c | 27.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a27…d8b3backed Over | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadiens vs. Senators: O/U 5.5this page
- Canadiens vs. SenatorsCanadiens won
- Canadiens vs. Senators: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Senators: O/U 6.5Under won
- Canadiens vs. Senators: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.