TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hawks (-14.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Netsof Hawks, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$350,890

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $350,890 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 383 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1776…e557backed Hawks54c75,931$41,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,002.45650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23b6…3eeebacked Nets48c17,400$8,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,0483046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05c4…a4f2backed Nets46c16,746$7,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,018.1712045%54 W · 66 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Nets46c16,220$7,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,759.0739842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Nets46c10,896$5,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,884.328554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c26…ae3abacked Nets46c8,578$3,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,632.26728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-40.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked Nets46c8,328$3,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,497.126651.5%34 W · 32 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hawks54c6,721$3,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,632.559,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Nets45c6,669$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,668.520948.8%102 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Nets46c6,508$2,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,512.654,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Nets48c6,291$3,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,250.952,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Hawks56c5,744$3,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,214.944352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hawks54c5,442$2,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,938.684,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Nets44c4,408$1,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,464.241,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hawks50c3,938$1,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,957.468,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Nets46c3,642$1,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,966.6822143%95 W · 126 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x43f3…88ecbacked Nets48c3,333$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,733.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf527…ae46backed Nets48c3,331$1,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,732.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Nets46c3,261$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,760.871,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Nets46c3,191$1,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,723.146,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa9…cf52backed Hawks52c2,897$1,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,506.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Nets44c2,869$1,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,606.8414245.8%65 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1c…a6c5backed Nets46c2,600$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4045046%23 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x890a…a4b4backed Hawks52c2,499$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ef…9135backed Nets48c2,498$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,298.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd84…6b64backed Nets48c2,496$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,297.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cb2…71d7backed Nets48c2,495$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,297.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8f6…02f6backed Nets48c2,492$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,295.844100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9897…503cbacked Nets48c2,482$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,290.644100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.54per pick47cpaid+115.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f66…ea74backed Nets48c2,478$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5de…d347backed Nets48c2,476$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4694…2d69backed Nets48c2,470$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,284.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842c…593ebacked Nets48c2,470$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,284.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6274…fbeebacked Nets48c2,468$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,283.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42ff…83b5backed Nets48c2,467$1,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,282.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fd9…9d0bbacked Nets48c2,462$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,280.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b29…39d3backed Nets48c2,453$1,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,275.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x893d…10a6backed Nets48c2,451$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f7c…cb55backed Nets48c2,445$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc15a…554fbacked Nets48c2,441$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,269.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x572c…e123backed Nets48c2,433$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,265.46540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8170…e94dbacked Nets48c2,430$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,263.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc04…6be0backed Nets48c2,427$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9334…7eeabacked Nets48c2,426$1,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.52580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+66.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x92a0…0d3fbacked Nets48c2,419$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,257.88580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+66.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x17c2…ed38backed Nets48c2,413$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4fa…d4bebacked Nets48c2,411$1,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,253.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a99…b66cbacked Nets48c2,393$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1ea…82f5backed Nets48c2,392$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,243.84450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb43…00f6backed Nets48c2,385$1,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,240.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb1…2e7ebacked Nets48c2,381$1,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,238.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b1…6745backed Nets48c2,375$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,235250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ae…6c02backed Nets48c2,374$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,234.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b8…3ebbbacked Nets48c2,359$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.68475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+48.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2f0…8b05backed Nets48c2,340$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,216.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c49…2d0abacked Nets48c2,339$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,216.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad98…53ccbacked Nets48c2,321$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c2d…4214backed Nets48c2,310$1,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,201.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d48…032cbacked Hawks52c2,286$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,188.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2eb1…3e36backed Nets48c2,285$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,188.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7078…be7ebacked Hawks52c2,284$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,187.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd953…7b5bbacked Hawks52c2,280$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x549c…3434backed Hawks52c2,273$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e9e…c82bbacked Nets48c2,263$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.764100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6201…622dbacked Hawks52c2,259$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6b3…7655backed Nets48c2,258$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeae7…a37fbacked Hawks52c2,255$1,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,172.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3180…b045backed Nets48c2,250$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+53.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1b4…476dbacked Hawks52c2,242$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73b5…3a48backed Hawks52c2,240$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,164.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9785…ea8cbacked Hawks52c2,219$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7364…fd42backed Nets48c2,215$1,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b9d…f490backed Hawks52c2,214$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ce4…8b36backed Hawks52c2,210$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x023c…a8debacked Hawks52c2,209$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Hawks36c2,206$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.181,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x834e…ec4abacked Nets48c2,199$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,143.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b5…0296backed Nets48c2,198$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.96560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2994…da85backed Nets48c2,195$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,141.4450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd773…67ddbacked Hawks52c2,190$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b64…4335backed Hawks52c2,189$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09d3…f60dbacked Hawks52c2,188$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e77…0dc9backed Hawks52c2,186$1,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,136.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b62…84eabacked Hawks52c2,182$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef73…700bbacked Hawks52c2,177$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccc9…4f64backed Nets48c2,175$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7fe…f74bbacked Hawks52c2,162$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2fe…d5d8backed Hawks52c2,153$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.56683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+63.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f3f…41f4backed Hawks52c2,153$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dbe…812cbacked Hawks52c2,149$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ffe…576ebacked Nets48c2,147$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1adf…8c2bbacked Hawks52c2,142$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f0d…1154backed Nets48c2,138$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.76650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x756b…86b0backed Hawks52c2,135$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x844c…6d60backed Hawks52c2,133$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6371…59b3backed Hawks52c2,128$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,106.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d6e…3da6backed Hawks52c2,122$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61ae…d1a9backed Nets48c2,118$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,101.36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93e0…8ffebacked Hawks52c2,111$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.72250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd5e…0546backed Nets48c2,110$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.