TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Hawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hawksof Nets, Hawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,117,435

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,117,435 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Nets10c250,000$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,999.9843542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2efb…bc63backed Nets1c33,676$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.39714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick10cpaid-49.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nets15c27,952$4,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,192.792,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Nets9c16,739$1,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.147028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Nets9c15,469$1,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,436.1329635.8%106 W · 190 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Nets4c11,626$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.041,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x006c…9728backed Nets10c10,750$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-26.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Nets6c10,721$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.861,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Nets14c10,526$1,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,496.329018.9%17 W · 73 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Nets9c10,500$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94527241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Nets9c10,005$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.651,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Nets10c8,889$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.1837747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Nets11c8,100$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.661,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Nets10c8,000$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.7132039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Nets10c7,784$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.6124841.1%102 W · 146 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d1…553ebacked Nets11c7,205$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7923438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Nets17c7,053$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1998429.8%25 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Nets11c6,947$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.6661336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nets13c6,865$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.668,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Nets11c5,592$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.6740035.5%142 W · 258 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Nets10c5,362$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.3348938.7%189 W · 300 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed Nets9c4,498$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.826841.2%28 W · 40 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Nets0c4,116$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.828820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed Nets9c4,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36013435.8%48 W · 86 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Nets8c3,750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011548.7%56 W · 59 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Nets15c3,695$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.293,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d5f…5752backed Nets9c3,655$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.6330%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b55…cde3backed Nets21c3,487$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.268151.9%42 W · 39 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd36…6ec9backed Nets12c3,203$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.425044%22 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Nets13c3,140$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.185344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Nets15c3,010$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.5758740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Nets10c3,000$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.3138434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Nets10c2,809$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.0723348.9%114 W · 119 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeeb3…5ceabacked Nets10c2,757$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.951741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Nets12c2,626$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.172,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f6…6d85backed Nets10c2,500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25015252%79 W · 73 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4650…f3f0backed Nets15c2,429$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.3518452.7%97 W · 87 L+12.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Nets14c2,391$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.9824138.6%93 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ba9…0516backed Nets13c2,298$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007412.2%9 W · 65 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01f0…f684backed Nets9c2,229$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200156.7%1 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick20cpaid-76.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Nets10c2,100$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.6462539.4%246 W · 379 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Nets10c2,020$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.348944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Nets9c2,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18019147.6%91 W · 100 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Nets12c1,999$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.888036.3%29 W · 51 L-8.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e63…1cedbacked Nets13c1,846$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24024323.9%58 W · 185 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a0c…89ccbacked Nets11c1,750$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.952748.1%13 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a70…5882backed Nets11c1,636$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180496.1%3 W · 46 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick15cpaid-72%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Nets10c1,504$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15040041.5%166 W · 234 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Nets10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.998026.3%21 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb8e…962bbacked Nets7c1,443$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Nets17c1,412$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24422036.8%81 W · 139 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1a3…a06abacked Nets15c1,407$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.361030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-29.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20e5…d3bcbacked Nets8c1,400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11222637.2%84 W · 142 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa88a…616ebacked Nets2c1,365$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33850%4 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-23.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe0c…04b6backed Nets15c1,335$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.233534.3%12 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Nets16c1,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013429.9%40 W · 94 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d91…40d3backed Nets13c1,158$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011926.1%31 W · 88 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0dd…fa53backed Nets5c1,149$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4db9…14f5backed Nets10c1,131$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11210235.3%36 W · 66 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ab9…361dbacked Nets10c1,115$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.342821.4%6 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Nets9c1,100$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1036929%20 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca38…720fbacked Nets13c1,100$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.698757.5%50 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x79f3…f00dbacked Nets11c1,096$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.46450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Nets12c1,069$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.162347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dbf…7776backed Nets12c1,062$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.8218343.7%80 W · 103 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Nets11c1,047$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.638740.3%156 W · 231 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Nets14c1,004$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13933632.4%109 W · 227 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed Nets14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14023938.1%91 W · 148 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Nets15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15045542.4%193 W · 262 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed Nets11c972$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.4169929.8%208 W · 491 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb10b…ec5ebacked Nets8c960.45$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.454440.9%18 W · 26 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Nets13c942.56$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.971,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0129…e3c9backed Nets11c917.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002751.9%14 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+28.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Nets11c911.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017532%56 W · 119 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a6…bca4backed Nets11c880.73$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1acc…8fe0backed Nets15c858.9$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.8118043.9%79 W · 101 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8790…5310backed Nets5c856$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Nets11c854.48$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.291,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Nets17c848.33$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.9641038%156 W · 254 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8117…5f64backed Nets12c839.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-60.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Nets12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013642.6%58 W · 78 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16e3…5476backed Nets7c831$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.17333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-47.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Nets12c820.41$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.833,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Nets10c816.41$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8162144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Nets10c800$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8042645.5%194 W · 232 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe01c…7f6cbacked Nets15c790$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.510255.9%57 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ca…d195backed Nets5c771$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e2d…40b1backed Nets9c756.76$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.1132330.7%99 W · 224 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f21…d644backed Nets14c731.86$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.463438.2%13 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Nets2c727.52$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.057211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1379…f149backed Nets6c718$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.08333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-53.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x687d…e28bbacked Nets14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005459.3%32 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd48…e421backed Nets14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030242.1%127 W · 175 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb86d…3c53backed Nets10c707.07$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7047134.2%161 W · 310 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-16.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x766b…e4ffbacked Nets14c698.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Nets15c672.05$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.122,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…afa6backed Nets15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011142.3%47 W · 64 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Nets5c661.47$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.445213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f8e…1270backed Nets7c647$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe25…df0abacked Nets9c611.36$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.227128.2%20 W · 51 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.