TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2a0c…89cc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT2748.1%13 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$112
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$92
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$77
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$69
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$533.09
Jazz vs. Lakersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.52
Suns vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.38
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.66
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Jazz vs. Nuggetsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Nets vs. Warriorsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Nets vs. Hawksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.95
Jazz vs. 76ersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$116
Hornets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+40.8%+$101.5
Bucks vs. Thunderbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+525%+$924
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$196
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+37%+$40.5
Bulls vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+31.6%+$48
Nets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+25%+$70
Wizards vs. Pistonsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+614.3%+$430
Celtics vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$124
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+42.9%+$60
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-32.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennislast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+42.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-47%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-74%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+172.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick28cpaid+236.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+64.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$76.78
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.35
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$107.24
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$157.5
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$112
All 3 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+163.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$252
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$49.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: Pakistan vs USA (Game 1)backed USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$113
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.