TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-03-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$253,490

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $253,490 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Yes47c150,104$70,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70,894.7610450%52 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No52c58,129$30,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,072.3490843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No54c32,792$17,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,238.524,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No53c18,373$9,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,624.781,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed No53c14,977$7,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,039.371464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No44c7,723$3,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,305.8411839%46 W · 72 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No75c7,153$5,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,788.369748.5%47 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No66c4,331$2,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,461.241,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Yes25c4,311$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.712245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No76c3,272$2,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.471,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No76c3,210$2,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.1892254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No76c3,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72019255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No75c2,999$2,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.837349.3%36 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes24c2,710$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.3264046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No78c2,076$1,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.941,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb673…d240backed Yes25c1,890$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes7c1,500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10515940.3%64 W · 95 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked No65c1,284$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.7822753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes8c1,133$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.274141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No76c1,095$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.4529038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed No77c1,045$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.421172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+30.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes23c907.82$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.0815150.3%76 W · 75 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ffe…4ef8backed Yes25c700$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.61425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-66.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Yes76c656.58$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4992445.8%11 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-24.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked No79c632.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.914862.5%30 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No76c624.99$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.1532545.2%147 W · 178 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No78c600$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13260732.5%197 W · 410 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes19c558.04$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.7711336.3%41 W · 72 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+450.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Yes7c553.04$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.387719.5%15 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201,03547.9%496 W · 539 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No76c499.98$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.9989050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed No45c473.15$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.234845.8%22 W · 26 L+7.1wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+249.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No54c468.18$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.3669142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Yes23c450$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.165538.2%21 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes59c423.5$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.4833244%146 W · 186 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed No45c410.36$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.587339.7%29 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b22…8cd6backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-22%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x99cd…8b45backed No76c400$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.15875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+33%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x705d…f3a9backed Yes25c390$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.474114.6%6 W · 35 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-57.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x340c…0ecbbacked Yes25c384.61$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f22…7f5cbacked Yes25c367.32$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23f1…d04cbacked Yes25c354.11$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+48%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No75c333.24$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.32,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes60c329.23$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.4425872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa566…72debacked Yes55c319.12$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.211159.5%66 W · 45 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No75c300.05$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.0120642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No21c300$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23826641.4%110 W · 156 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7523947.7%114 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No22c299.99$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.999530.5%29 W · 66 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No64c295.19$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.5726930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No76c293.04$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.3342851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceb7…391ebacked No65c277.56$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.214077.5%31 W · 9 L+7.2wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+43.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa6ab…10c8backed Yes7c264.65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.861030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4922…34a7backed Yes17c253.12$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.031233.3%4 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+163.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0875…167cbacked Yes44c252.52$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4aa…a19bbacked No76c250$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-56.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a0c…89ccbacked No76c250$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-47%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No76c232.18$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.721,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes22c211.6$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.644324.2%107 W · 336 L-49.5wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed No53c205.66$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.6620148.8%98 W · 103 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005151%26 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8979…3e4abacked Yes50c202$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011010%1 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick25cpaid-85.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c80…77b7backed Yes78c201.46$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.24854.2%26 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cc9…21adbacked No76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.152100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7205…3377backed No22c199.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.994748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22e6…26efbacked No76c199.97$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9910268.6%70 W · 32 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No54c199.35$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.2341147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa53e…f9f6backed No72c194.79$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.544100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+84.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes23c193$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6413249.2%65 W · 67 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed No52c190.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.4912755.1%70 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No24c158.39$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.7635145.6%160 W · 191 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe184…8919backed No76c146.96$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.393100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c31…cbafbacked No76c145.02$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed No52c144.23$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.237159.2%42 W · 29 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+22.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No76c144$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5650149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa4b…37a5backed No76c137.54$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50f1…e6f4backed No76c131.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6a1…9fd5backed Yes76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-2.1wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9135…a63ebacked Yes77c130$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.11844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1b7…5383backed No76c127.52$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.734100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+117.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc2d…8668backed Yes73c127.4$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+25.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5cf…7b4cbacked Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-42.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83f2…313bbacked Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2abd…9c2dbacked No76c121.96$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.39450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes16c120.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.266929%20 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2563…f946backed Yes25c117.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013844.9%62 W · 76 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b35…768ebacked Yes9c117.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.83641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15de…9e12backed No29c117$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.073961.5%24 W · 15 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+33.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb271…248cbacked Yes25c117$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35af…4260backed No76c115.17$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.643100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+86%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes25c113.46$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2832444.8%145 W · 179 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No65c112.63$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2783640%334 W · 502 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0687…77bfbacked No32c109.58$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.552634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b7…bfe9backed Yes75c101.01$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.71450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9541…7f67backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+30.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x999d…5b2ebacked Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.951850%9 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4130…ff0dbacked Yes75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed No77c97.69$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.479554.7%52 W · 43 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bf2…85b7backed No52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.152556%14 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes25c95$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.689640.6%39 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.