TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Valencia CF vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$136,587

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,587 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes24c20,941$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.695726.3%15 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No69c10,521$7,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,261.5110539%41 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes31c10,219$3,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,163.111,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No75c7,785$5,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.5290843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No76c7,325$5,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,785.2611839%46 W · 72 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No67c6,464$4,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,153.074,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes31c6,000$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,86024147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes67c3,310$2,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,219.381,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed No69c2,899$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.9813054.6%71 W · 59 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No61c2,828$1,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.971,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes31c2,148$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.872,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes31c1,797$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.0710848.1%52 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes21c1,757$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.2329038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No69c1,708$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.1192254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No76c1,558$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.391,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No69c1,514$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.2219255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa313…1f26backed Yes26c1,489$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.443040%12 W · 18 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+44.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes23c1,249$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.326929%20 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes9c1,206$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.319530.5%29 W · 66 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes76c1,080$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.9625872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Yes26c1,062$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.363435.3%12 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86ed…8e73backed Yes29c1,061$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.82425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-57.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes31c800$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24842851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d0d…0a99backed Yes29c799.51$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2287838.5%30 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes25c765.1$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19337829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes29c736$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.3215246.1%70 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaed…580bbacked No69c725.78$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.99757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Yes23c656.64$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505453.7%29 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Yes77c649.37$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002445.8%11 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-24.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9f39…abacbacked Yes4c512.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1551,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed No78c483.46$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.367339.7%29 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No21c480$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.626641.4%110 W · 156 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes12c459.13$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510431.7%33 W · 71 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+24.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbca0…d7a0backed Yes20c445.64$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.733948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No68c398.7$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.7526930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No69c395.2$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5189050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80b4…a52ebacked No51c389.02$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.024240.5%17 W · 25 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+40%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7fda…2b1cbacked Yes32c384.52$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes32c351$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.3911947.1%56 W · 63 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb3b…4b00backed Yes31c346.82$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.51250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Yes29c345.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009331.2%29 W · 64 L-8.1wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-35.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xca66…2305backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72ab…30fcbacked Yes23c344.33$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc73…a9d2backed Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001650%8 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbc5…1cb0backed Yes79c328.41$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d8c…bec4backed Yes31c324.88$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.71728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004528.9%13 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes24c320$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7213249.2%65 W · 67 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa566…72debacked No77c312.5$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7311159.5%66 W · 45 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f12…1937backed Yes78c311.71$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.134526.7%12 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick28cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No15c300$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25523255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe46c…5d5fbacked Yes31c286.31$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.73366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010938.5%42 W · 67 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-3.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30c7…8d29backed Yes41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0632…d1b7backed Yes27c233.33$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632544%11 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes57c200.61$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.9469142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Yes29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.812538.4%48 W · 77 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505151%26 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4df2…d357backed Yes29c195.47$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.031050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefa5…b417backed No69c189$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.593658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ed…6d09backed Yes30c188.73$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.62540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes31c179.82$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.371,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020148.8%98 W · 103 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bd0…9d4abacked Yes30c175.96$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.57450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+59.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c87…c77cbacked Yes77c172.03$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked No71c169.25$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.958550.6%43 W · 42 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66a3…48febacked No69c163.04$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.54250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd212…f0f4backed Yes14c162.7$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick38cpaid+54.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x56f4…7655backed No70c162.36$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.71250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick64cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x929a…6f64backed Yes80c160.51$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5753…0626backed No69c160.48$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.753100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7baf…99a7backed No15c147.13$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.135521.8%12 W · 43 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick15cpaid+46.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes12c145.52$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4683939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7cc…2833backed Yes12c144.17$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.784946.9%23 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes13c143$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8940033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1676…6630backed Yes31c142.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes30c138$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.42842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes22c132.86$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9335145.6%160 W · 191 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5092…1fc1backed Yes77c129.81$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes50c128.3$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1560832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x062d…039bbacked No70c123.95$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.19650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a3b…b309backed No69c121.79$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-51.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011547%54 W · 61 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No65c118.24$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3341147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7be…ef59backed No70c116.07$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.91475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+26.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ea…c6f9backed No69c114.71$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.614100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+107.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Yes31c113$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.039634.4%33 W · 63 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed No22c112.84$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.846442.2%27 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes19c110.53$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2122450.4%113 W · 111 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Yes31c109.38$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.911637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4cbb…a912backed No69c108.96$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ccc…73f0backed No69c108.81$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.322100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Yes31c104.3$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.331625%4 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-41.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd39a…e52bbacked Yes79c102.35$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.86333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick76cpaid-56.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No65c101.38$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.58143.2%35 W · 46 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+48.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244216.7%7 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick13cpaid+162.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf86…5394backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick30cpaid+160.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.