TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Valencia CF win on 2026-03-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$299,372

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $299,372 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 375 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes22c16,202$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,702.35726.3%15 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No72c15,401$11,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,053.7190843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No55c14,611$8,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,035.7510539%41 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No55c14,610$8,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,058.111,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No61c11,914$7,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,272.24,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No55c10,732$5,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,902.646243.5%27 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No78c9,945$7,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,801.125242.3%22 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes10c9,819$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,848.6723727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes46c8,000$3,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,32030446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes45c7,326$3,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,029.59748.5%47 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes45c6,985$3,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,841.7450149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No54c5,627$3,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,038.5120449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Yes44c5,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,800922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-51.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes46c4,780$2,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,581.250243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes45c4,670$2,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,571.229640.6%39 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes45c4,444$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,444.4413054.6%71 W · 59 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes46c4,128$1,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,229.3710848.1%52 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b57…1f2ebacked No55c4,078$2,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,242.78666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+77.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No54c4,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,159.9915952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa313…1f26backed Yes22c3,208$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,514.653040%12 W · 18 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+44.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes17c3,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4906051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes32c2,986$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,036.7222753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No2c2,802$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.628143.2%35 W · 46 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+48.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No54c2,546$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.9324145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No78c2,401$1,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,877.031,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d8…31cfbacked No68c2,386$1,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,621.75764.9%37 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No73c2,155$1,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,566.961,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed No55c2,145$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1803135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No54c2,068$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.4292254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed No54c1,851$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.538251.2%42 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x258f…4493backed Yes9c1,621$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,467.383534.3%12 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+76.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes14c1,346$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.9617326.6%46 W · 127 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92fa…03b3backed Yes45c1,250$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No72c1,245$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.3360832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes46c1,160$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.411333.6%38 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7476…2043backed No56c1,150$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4922…34a7backed No1c1,111$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.221233.3%4 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+163.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7541…af78backed No56c1,100$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bf8…f145backed Yes45c1,080$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5941100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fa…a497backed Yes46c1,080$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+42.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes44c1,075$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60249447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…83d5backed No56c1,070$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x138e…3fd2backed No56c1,060$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc60e…64aebacked Yes45c1,050$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes12c1,000$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88011120.7%23 W · 88 L-10.9wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x78ba…eeedbacked Yes45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46fa…3e28backed No56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes2c1,000$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9804216.7%7 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick13cpaid+162.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed3e…3ed9backed Yes45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5501100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.155058%29 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.8516740.1%67 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Yes38c999.99$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6203435.3%12 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes24c999.96$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.973520%7 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes46c967.39$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.3921641.7%90 W · 126 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x122c…b48fbacked Yes72c950.42$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.221457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes37c935.46$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.461650%8 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes26c922$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.3213249.2%65 W · 67 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb530…b4febacked Yes45c900$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4951100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee5a…1454backed No56c900$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes41c870$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.7315940.3%64 W · 95 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes39c808$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.0783939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes27c763$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.515246.1%70 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6882…762bbacked Yes45c730$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.7560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+24.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb84e…f1dbbacked No56c720$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.2616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-68.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes14c719.42$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.4210938.5%42 W · 67 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-3.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes14c699.99$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.1913626.5%36 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a3…63afbacked Yes20c685$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5482100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+281.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84e2…a56ebacked No56c680$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8da0…13bebacked Yes45c670$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+42.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a6…bca4backed Yes44c643.18$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.183633.3%12 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Yes24c625$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4759331.2%29 W · 64 L-8.1wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-35.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a0c…0beebacked Yes3c623.83$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.834942.9%21 W · 28 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+88.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2031…4059backed Yes5c600$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+300%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No55c599.99$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33012954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No38c580.44$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.3745841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6297…1302backed Yes72c540.66$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.351450%7 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+21.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4c4…f4cbbacked No56c535.85$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d0d…0a99backed Yes38c529.06$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.067838.5%30 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes45c506.67$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.674557.8%26 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No54c500.14$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.0835148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes44c500$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27826853%142 W · 126 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Yes24c500$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3792166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27089050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2701,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2701,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Yes15c500$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4267719.5%15 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed No4c488.77$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.069736.1%35 W · 62 L+14.3wins+0.15per pick21cpaid+150%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No78c467.49$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.647553.3%40 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Yes45c466.67$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.675959.3%35 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes29c465$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.5211947.1%56 W · 63 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.5511037.3%41 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes44c450$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2528653.5%46 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x315a…05a9backed Yes45c444.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.71333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No73c443$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.5140033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7da3…5a49backed Yes46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.782347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Yes44c424$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.444259.5%25 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0632…d1b7backed Yes24c416.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.672544%11 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80b4…a52ebacked Yes24c412.5$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.54240.5%17 W · 25 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+40%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes26c400$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29637829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No54c400$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21664046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.