TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdc2d…8668

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
100
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: La Liga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 55 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.9
FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+101.6%+$37.6
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Real Betis Balompié vs. Panathinaikós AO: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
FC Midtjylland vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Will RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$53.86
VfB Stuttgart vs. FC Porto: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+69.5%+$51.42
AZ vs. Noah FA: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
HNK Rijeka vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+35.1%+$35.14
Lille OSC vs. FK Crvena zvezda: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+108.3%+$27.08
PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+81.8%+$20.45
Celtic FC vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+56.3%+$14.06
All 19 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+25.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$122.89
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.56
Sevilla FC vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Cádiz CF vs. Málaga CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will FC Andorra vs. SD Eibar end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
SD Huesca vs. UD Almería: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Albacete Balompié vs. UD Las Palmas: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+100.3%+$61.18
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$70.31
Real Betis Balompié vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$55
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
Valencia CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$69.49
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+138.1%+$207.72
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+138.1%+$55.24
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+47.1%+$117.74
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+212.5%+$74.38
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$78.06
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.14
Will Brentford FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+131.4%+$161.6
Crystal Palace FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will West Ham United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$30.86
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+70.7%+$70.72
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Morelos: Robin Catry vs Alejandro Hayenbacked Alejandro Hayen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$56.31
Miami Open, Qualification: Ignacio Buse vs Coleman Wongbacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+114.6%+$114.57
Miami Open, Qualification: Cristian Garin vs Liam Draxlbacked Cristian Garin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Cherbourg: Remy Bertola vs August Holmgrenbacked August Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Hersonissos: Harry Wendelken vs Toby Samuelbacked Harry Wendelken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Kigali: Luka Pavlovic vs Stefano Napolitanobacked Luka Pavlovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
BNP Paribas Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs James Duckworthbacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$26
New Delhi: Oliver Crawford vs Jay Clarkebacked Clarke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$36
All 8 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-52.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-64.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mexico vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Slovakia win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Israel Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.