La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0473f3326fca2bbec206eb93a8177d36e12e0f5a617916420d70f9b2435310ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $139,064
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 61c | 37,364$22,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,907.58 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes | 29c | 25,881$7,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,375.18 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 29c | 8,874$2,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,300.87 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 7,698$5,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,465.49 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 27c | 6,911$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,030.94 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x702b…dedebacked Yes | 29c | 5,172$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,672.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 45c | 3,979$1,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,171.58 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 3,489$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.43 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.99 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccc…f2dabacked Yes | 73c | 2,957$2,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 60c | 2,291$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.89 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1b…62c9backed Yes | 29c | 2,052$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 71c | 1,981$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.82 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 69cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 29c | 1,628$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.59 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe726…4c87backed Yes | 29c | 1,626$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.12 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 50c | 1,448$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.96 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes | 29c | 1,251$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.87 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Yes | 78c | 1,181$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.59 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Yes | 67c | 1,050$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 71c | 1,021$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.83 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 48c | 1,018$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.8 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.09 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 846.74$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.67 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…9b05backed No | 50c | 843.11$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…b09fbacked No | 38c | 600$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 42c | 590.48$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.56 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Yes | 30c | 578.03$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.62 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 14c | 542.54$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.49 | 213 | 22.1%47 W · 166 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 8c | 500$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 15c | 499.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 43c | 489.37$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.18 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 68c | 485.6$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.41 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…78debacked No | 37c | 485.19$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.31 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 70c | 482.63$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.84 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc86e…8dfcbacked Yes | 54c | 473.93$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 7c | 438.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 29c | 430.35$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.55 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 40c | 421.43$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.56 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x062d…039bbacked Yes | 30c | 389.26$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80b4…a52ebacked No | 34c | 370$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.5 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +40%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea4…55cdbacked Yes | 30c | 345.26$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Yes | 29c | 340$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 71c | 336.63$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.16 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…47a4backed Yes | 47c | 315.81$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.81 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 29c | 304$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.84 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 71c | 299.99$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.99 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87eb…582fbacked Yes | 77c | 255.47$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 29c | 244.83$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.83 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29b…da59backed Yes | 29c | 243.52$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.9 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…e882backed Yes | 28c | 243.01$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 35c | 229.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.2 | 266 | 41.4%110 W · 156 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 46c | 219.45$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.56 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 28c | 214.29$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.29 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 72c | 208.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.2 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…0b60backed No | 71c | 200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…8668backed Yes | 64c | 195.31$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.31 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 31c | 193.1$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.39 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…6a47backed Yes | 52c | 189.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 43c | 183.95$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.15 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 188 | 42%79 W · 109 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb4…1eb1backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 71c | 172.41$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.41 | 128 | 21.1%27 W · 101 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Yes | 29c | 170$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.7 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Yes | 72c | 151.23$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.73 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d8…f8afbacked No | 71c | 148.75$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4471…1134backed No | 71c | 139.15$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d52…f748backed Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 70c | 126.98$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.37 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…fc39backed No | 71c | 123.92$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 50c | 121.92$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.04 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 54c | 121.32$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.3 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 120.07$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 71c | 119.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.19 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -14.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 38c | 118.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.27 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Yes | 29c | 116$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.36 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec2d…45a8backed No | 71c | 112.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.07 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc85e…5d37backed Yes | 34c | 108.62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.62 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfca2…c244backed No | 71c | 108.56$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Yes | 74c | 107.9$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5db…f982backed Yes | 28c | 106.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.32 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…e910backed Yes | 29c | 103.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.62 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 31cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63aa…8b6fbacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7963…9098backed No | 71c | 101.36$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Yes | 30c | 101.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.21 | 140 | 28.6%40 W · 100 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9684…a461backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed No | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 107 | 54.2%58 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 309 | 56%173 W · 136 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x411b…fb21backed Yes | 30c | 99.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x332d…7b0ebacked Yes | 29c | 91.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.95 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41d4…a401backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 70c | 85.03$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.78 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…00c2backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Betis Balompié vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?this page
- Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-15?No won
- Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.