TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$234,015

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $234,015 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes26c58,921$15,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,108.6215034.7%52 W · 98 L+0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No80c21,732$17,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,452.7990843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No74c10,710$7,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,795.051,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes11c8,789$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005726.3%15 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No74c8,229$6,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,139.492,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No74c7,000$5,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8205757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No76c6,024$4,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,462.324,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No74c5,000$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,30021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No75c3,681$2,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.2520449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No75c3,333$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.257443.2%32 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked No48c3,320$1,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,722.5860147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No79c3,007$2,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.91,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No75c2,700$2,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6759058.9%53 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+30.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes22c2,243$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.7212821.1%27 W · 101 L-12.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-51.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No75c2,011$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.783650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No75c1,794$1,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.512757.5%73 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes26c1,671$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.9611146.8%52 W · 59 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x142e…f6e4backed Yes24c1,490$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.551553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb3…9dfdbacked No80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2502100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe0c…04b6backed Yes55c1,250$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.032441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes23c1,214$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.711,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No61c1,149$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.181,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No74c1,052$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.3315150.3%76 W · 75 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2604254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010634.9%37 W · 69 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3f3…b728backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No73c876$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.5250243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes39c802.31$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.0483939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No74c800$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20822552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes25c780.99$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.2535148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07dc…aefabacked No73c720$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.4450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed No76c651.63$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.147100%7 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+71.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No66c645.41$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.283,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d3…8a20backed Yes33c608.91$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.082161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Yes24c597.67$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.1528847.6%137 W · 151 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes26c583$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.5826550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Yes19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005844.8%26 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No74c513.75$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.0792254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes13c500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6516745.5%76 W · 91 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8160…7963backed Yes27c499.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+71.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed5d…2668backed Yes22c444.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007630.3%23 W · 53 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No45c437.07$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.5533734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5db…f982backed Yes26c421.2$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.958140.7%33 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+39.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes25c404.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009641.7%40 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07fe…4d66backed Yes25c404$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10110440.4%42 W · 62 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10012954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed No52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1926446.9%30 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11215940.3%64 W · 95 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014028.6%40 W · 100 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No74c399.97$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.9342851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes25c373.84$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4623947.7%114 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffbe…77a0backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-45.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked No42c360$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.83330.3%10 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b54…db07backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes42c355$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.6440033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Yes55c327.27$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1804755.3%26 W · 21 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ca9…37d8backed No79c317.06$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.061471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed Yes56c307.52$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.99450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8426853%142 W · 126 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7516036.3%58 W · 102 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7827652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7819750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f12…1937backed Yes25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754526.7%12 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick28cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7829053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7831751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7818152.5%95 W · 86 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7802…fa6bbacked No75c298.13$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes21c271.43$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5720148.8%98 W · 103 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ae…f407backed Yes19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501822.2%4 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7da7…17aabacked Yes25c256$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No74c250$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6521849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes18c222.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-44.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d9…f53abacked Yes27c220$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c34…8dfabacked No46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.391553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe822…f89fbacked Yes27c202.54$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.69250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed No74c200.51$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.136261.3%38 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5221051.9%109 W · 101 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5216151.6%83 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5229053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22e6…26efbacked No73c199.99$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5410268.6%70 W · 32 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No72c199.99$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes23c194.4$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2926930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No70c184$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0363553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No74c180$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.814950.3%75 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes56c179.46$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004557.8%26 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc70d…a6f9backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502040%8 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes34c174.25$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7121950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe175…a1b3backed Yes34c168.91$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.71050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44ba…5618backed Yes24c166.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Yes60c166$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.64353.5%23 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes26c162.29$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8135145.6%160 W · 191 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No74c150$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3943255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No74c150$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3914244.4%63 W · 79 L-12.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes26c147.09$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5717032.9%56 W · 114 L-0.8wins0.00per pick33cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes43c143.5$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5959655.4%330 W · 266 L+31.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.