TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$511,989

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $511,989 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 383 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Yes46c177,144$80,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80,982.9110450%52 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No61c66,595$40,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,753.884,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No54c43,869$23,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,018.871,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No54c36,148$19,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,7622,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No61c21,212$12,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,254.0490843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked No53c21,000$11,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,869.882646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No53c20,000$10,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,399.957139.4%28 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No54c13,538$7,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,227.398756.3%49 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes38c13,078$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0005726.3%15 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes45c11,661$5,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,293.6411146.8%52 W · 59 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f20…96a8backed No55c10,136$5,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,561.21741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes45c8,683$3,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,914.2830446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No55c8,100$4,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,64550149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes20c7,576$1,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,526.3660147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No55c7,000$3,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1505757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes46c6,444$2,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,958.0650243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes45c5,130$2,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,332.7726550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,35024145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,25021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No55c4,772$2,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,147.450249.6%249 W · 253 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c75…b299backed Yes47c4,521$2,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1251136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Yes28c4,181$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170.683138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,84015952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No55c4,000$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8107553.3%40 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No65c3,946$2,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,366.383,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x991d…e467backed Yes33c3,655$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes48c3,654$1,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,753.7469142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No55c3,333$1,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.857443.2%32 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes47c3,191$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5004025%10 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No70c3,000$2,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.741,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No71c2,769$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.231,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes45c2,678$1,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20549447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No53c2,500$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,17535148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…d7a0backed Yes20c2,499$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.723948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed No55c2,200$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9804740.4%19 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc88a…9df8backed Yes47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes31c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.9915044.7%67 W · 83 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes20c1,875$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.2683640%334 W · 502 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No53c1,642$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.8383650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No56c1,600$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.9926853%142 W · 126 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Yes2c1,514$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.285538.2%21 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No53c1,497$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.597653.9%41 W · 35 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+28.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No54c1,242$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.4792254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes48c1,150$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55013054.6%71 W · 59 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked No62c1,111$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.367653.9%41 W · 35 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes15c1,001$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.2621322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4504254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab75…cce0backed No53c981.11$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.123060%18 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No56c883.32$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.665964.4%38 W · 21 L+6.2wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes37c859.15$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31720843.3%90 W · 118 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0556…132abacked No53c850$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.51450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No55c800$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36022552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes9c787.14$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7023727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021641.7%90 W · 126 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cab…8228backed Yes20c751.65$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.333627.8%10 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4650…f3f0backed Yes20c686.41$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.881947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+59.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No53c672.85$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.2419255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No55c600$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27012954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ee0…9c9abacked No54c598$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.081926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-46.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed No53c566$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.025158.8%30 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc521…b46abacked Yes44c560$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.41827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4fd…0095backed No56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.71862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+34.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No64c534.97$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.763553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8015…da39backed Yes19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3bc…03efbacked Yes7c524.35$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.75520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes20c522.25$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.4517032.9%56 W · 114 L-0.8wins0.00per pick33cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd708…b9d2backed No56c501.95$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.952268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7516745.5%76 W · 91 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked No65c500$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.3314250.7%72 W · 70 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No55c499.99$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22589050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No55c499.99$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2251,03547.9%496 W · 539 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed No54c483$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.184259.5%25 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xed5d…2668backed Yes22c463.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007630.3%23 W · 53 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa01…473cbacked Yes44c450$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1982556%14 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c8…7451backed No56c442.48$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked No59c436.57$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.574955.1%27 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3542…24f0backed Yes46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002060%12 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54a2…5dfebacked No54c424.07$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.07771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick44cpaid+72.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes19c422.06$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4679133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7da3…5a49backed Yes48c418.4$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.832347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x07fe…4d66backed Yes47c404.26$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19010440.4%42 W · 62 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No53c402.08$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1899147.3%43 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9684…a461backed No56c400$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1781060%6 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe013…1ddcbacked No57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1721947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes22c381.84$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9235145.6%160 W · 191 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a73…e1adbacked Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No56c360$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.412951.9%67 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes32c344.7$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes21c340.39$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9941147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x279a…ffc2backed Yes38c336.18$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.310152.5%53 W · 48 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+14.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009641.7%40 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63aa…8b6fbacked Yes32c332.77$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1056344.4%28 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b18…0390backed Yes47c312.17$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.652236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.7wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-45.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3798…c20ebacked Yes47c309.85$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.633040%12 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9bfc…fd26backed Yes47c309.85$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.631540%6 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-36.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0168…0905backed Yes20c304.05$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.811844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked No54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1384647.8%22 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13527652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13519750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.