TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8ccc…f2da

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
111
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 52 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT5064%32 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.92
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$52,282Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$13,516.84
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20,700Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9,299.96
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$29,214Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$7,303.43
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$24,140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$7,888.66
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23,004Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23,004.19
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15,300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$4,699.99
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.67
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15,826Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+69%+$10,919.86
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+71.6%+$288.89
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11,009Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$4,142.2
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$6,600Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$5,399.93
Timberwolves vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.11
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,214Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+438.1%+$9,698.65
76ers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26,247Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$8,684.06
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,787Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,787.41
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45,596Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$15,578.33
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$7,500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$2,500
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$29,225Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$7,465.33
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$49,719Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$17,164.63
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16,976Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,975.99
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11,632Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$5,762.46
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$42,080Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$10,534.43
Pelicans vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$79,583Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$21,934.37
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19,411Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$5,035.57
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BMW Open, Qualification: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Alex Molcanbacked Roberto Carballes Baena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$5,989Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,989.02
Bucharest Open: Alex Molcan vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25,301Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+63.8%+$16,139.67
Grand Prix Hassan II: Alexandre Muller vs Rafael Jodarbacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Copa Colsanitas: Camila Osorio vs Jazmin Ortenzibacked Jazmin Ortenzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$8,291Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$3,705.38
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$31,091Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16,741.16
Miami Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Miami Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Alex Michelsenbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,072Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+172.9%+$5,312.27
Miami Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauffbacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.08
Zadar: Martin Krumich vs Matej Dodigbacked Martin Krumich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$4,553Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,552.54
All 9 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick42cpaid-63.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,947Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,946.83
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,059Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,058.7
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13,835Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,835.38
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$384.94
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Grand Canyon Antelopesbacked Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+120.4%+$382.37
Memphis Tigers vs. Tulane Green Wavebacked Tulane Green Wave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.22
All 6 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+142.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Egypt vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,603Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$1,499.55
Will Spain win on 2026-03-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14,770Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,769.82
Will Germany win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$2,649.99
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Kingsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,106Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$557.54
Golden Knights vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,500
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick69cpaid-51.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$6,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,900
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will NEC win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21,183Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$10,046.22
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,247Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$1,061.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$535Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$287.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 vs. AS Roma end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.