Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will NEC win on 2026-03-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe60d0f3da149636e6004d254fa301efac5aeb018b5aeff80fef455ef6f45bc81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,582 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.99 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 10c | 4,604$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.19 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 75c | 3,948$2,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.46 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 76c | 1,579$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.95 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 74c | 1,017$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.63 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 75c | 666.37$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.97 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 76c | 662.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.09 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3497…812bbacked Yes | 76c | 657.96$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.96 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 75c | 642.11$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.58 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 76c | 623.76$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.77 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked No | 26c | 590$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.3 | 62 | 17.7%11 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 73c | 540.7$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.99 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 25c | 415$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.9 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4c…bc84backed Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a48…498cbacked Yes | 76c | 394.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 75c | 327.32$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.83 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 26c | 310.43$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.24 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 75c | 309$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.25 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 24c | 298.75$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.7 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Yes | 76c | 283.31$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.03 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 25c | 249.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 73c | 233$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.91 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 25c | 201$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 124 | 37.9%47 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 24c | 186.37$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9184…6048backed Yes | 76c | 158.01$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.94 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccc…f2dabacked Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Yes | 76c | 108.59$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 25c | 108$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked No | 27c | 98.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Yes | 75c | 67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c03…949bbacked Yes | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 25c | 54.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 75c | 50.4$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed No | 27c | 50.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 25c | 40.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 76c | 36.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Yes | 74c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 77 | 75.3%58 W · 19 L | +12.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Yes | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Yes | 75c | 27.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78f5…c899backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 76c | 23.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 69c | 18.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…0139backed Yes | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NEC win on 2026-03-08?this page
- Will FC Volendam win on 2026-03-08?No won
- Will NEC vs. FC Volendam end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.