TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9c4c…bc84

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
121
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 55 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-8.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Belgium win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will United States win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$107.4
Will Panama win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.68
Will Sweden win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$369.38
Will Japan win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.81
Will Paraguay win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+25%+$100
Will Norway win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$517Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+53.2%+$275.05
Will Ghana win on 2026-03-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Germany (-2.5)backed Ghana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$824Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$297.11
Will Colombia win on 2026-03-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Mexico win on 2026-03-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$61
Will United States win on 2026-03-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$35.77
Will Scotland win on 2026-03-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
Will Panama win on 2026-03-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$441Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+109.8%+$484
Spread: Argentina (-4.5)backed Mauritania · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Will Switzerland win on 2026-03-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$245.45
All 18 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+37.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$79.61
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$409.53
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$490.7
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$172.36
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+62.7%+$564.19
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+525%+$262.5
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$33.45
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+25%+$31.61
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$510.89
All 14 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick69cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$13.24
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.94
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$359.09
FC Volendam vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$6,873Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,873.02
Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-04-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$94.84
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$73.01
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$699Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$174.8
FC Porto vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$32
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$50.69
Will NEC win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$100
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
All 14 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-3.4wins-0.30per pick67cpaid-47.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,118.43
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$98.8
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.76
Will AZ win on 2026-04-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$34.59
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.64
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$184.93
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$255.56
Will NK Celje win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will AEK win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-47.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick75cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+25.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Blackhawksbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.95
Blackhawks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$36
Jets vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Devils vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Hurricanes vs. Canucksbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$661Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+35.1%+$232.32
All 5 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-1.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$104.36
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$38.95
Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$48.87
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$147.76
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$201.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$37.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.