TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$282,168
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$291,984

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $282,168 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 313 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xab82…abe5backed Yes41c94,693$38,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,735.5825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-54%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No59c31,317$18,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,840.171764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.7wins+0.22per pick43cpaid+62.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes70c22,586$15,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,810.210246.1%47 W · 55 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No53c21,474$11,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,072.777,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No30c20,793$6,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,555.372536%9 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No52c17,915$9,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,572.235,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked No30c14,139$4,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,897.28616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1333…173bbacked No21c12,421$2,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,782.911060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+59.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No30c11,030$3,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,690.51822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4c…bc84backed Yes70c9,819$6,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,873.021478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick69cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No30c6,548$1,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,583.772,33446.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes69c6,305$4,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,381.582,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes68c4,014$2,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,710.886662.1%41 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No57c3,848$2,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,635.2414560%87 W · 58 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes71c3,488$2,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,489.589061.1%55 W · 35 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+46.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Yes69c3,271$2,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,257.227045.7%32 W · 38 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No80c2,592$2,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.2815371.9%110 W · 43 L+15.5wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No11c2,364$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,104.3818743.9%82 W · 105 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes72c2,280$1,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,632.6951140.9%209 W · 302 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fcc…e083backed Yes42c2,279$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.42911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick31cpaid-71.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes68c2,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3602352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c19…859cbacked Yes70c1,795$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,252.871154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid+13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcea2…8ea7backed Yes59c1,731$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.91560%9 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No52c1,625$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.432,17948%1,046 W · 1,133 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No52c1,525$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.3526060.8%158 W · 102 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No60c1,389$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.9398552.3%515 W · 470 L+4.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed No60c1,336$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.853056.7%17 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No39c1,300$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.8494043.7%411 W · 529 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x511a…9745backed Yes70c1,229$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.48425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick71cpaid-65.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Yes41c1,170$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.52437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No57c1,150$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.882,13045.8%975 W · 1,155 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0542…e195backed Yes46c1,060$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.56540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4504136.6%15 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Yes68c864.1$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.631860.4%192 W · 126 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb502…145cbacked Yes70c861.72$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.07650%3 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked No56c793.02$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.92458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed No60c761.28$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.515552.7%29 W · 26 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes41c757.33$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.558229.2%170 W · 412 L-19.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No59c744.25$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.2318659.7%111 W · 75 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked Yes69c711.16$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.7366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x458c…ee3ebacked Yes69c711.16$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.71258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick69cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed No58c690.64$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.575962.7%37 W · 22 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No31c653.86$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.161,15960.7%703 W · 456 L+68.5wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x284d…59f7backed No32c638.83$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.4580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+122.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed No61c632.29$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.8511758.1%68 W · 49 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Yes70c631.29$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.913662.5%85 W · 51 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Yes43c624.93$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.72837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Yes70c561.68$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.171758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+19.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6d73…f538backed Yes70c561.14$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes71c552.69$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.691,71148.3%827 W · 884 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes71c536.86$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.481,10747.7%528 W · 579 L+1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a2c…dfe7backed No31c507.49$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35012746.5%59 W · 68 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9303…0bc7backed Yes70c491$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.7520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-66.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes69c490.7$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.581566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No58c490.37$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.041,09850.5%554 W · 544 L-36.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe56…593abacked Yes20c450$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901915.8%3 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+26.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1fcd…445ebacked Yes20c450$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90180%0 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x79fb…c230backed Yes20c450$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…860fbacked Yes45c429.78$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.43050%15 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xceb1…bd4fbacked Yes20c428.31$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.16140%0 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No31c428.14$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.1116756.3%94 W · 73 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58aa…a481backed Yes69c426.7$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6094…32fcbacked Yes69c426.69$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.42520%1 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.45per pick65cpaid-73.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x65af…df77backed Yes70c420.86$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.61030%3 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick58cpaid+33.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes47c419.07$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.9612337.4%46 W · 77 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No31c411.27$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.1311155.9%62 W · 49 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No30c408.4$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.0677350.2%388 W · 385 L+2.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcca9…af95backed Yes5c407.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-76.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2099…4a6fbacked Yes42c400$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1681118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick42cpaid-62.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed No58c366.39$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ae3…af5dbacked Yes72c361.93$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.591952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3892…4093backed No31c361.64$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.53250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+61.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x788a…bff2backed Yes70c350.71$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.51747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No32c340.68$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.9920953.1%111 W · 98 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ea3…71a1backed No56c326.14$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.511258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1ee…956ebacked No32c320.1$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked No31c311.83$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.0310560%63 W · 42 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x57f7…ae57backed Yes20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6050%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Yes32c299.75$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.928432.1%27 W · 57 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5545…9d86backed No55c298.53$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.661546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x660d…56acbacked Yes72c297.21$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.9926549.4%131 W · 134 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67c0…ac76backed Yes44c292.12$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c30…d9e5backed Yes56c272.12$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.611040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No30c270.27$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.4185250.4%429 W · 423 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f59…3d18backed Yes36c267.11$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.161338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-34.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72ee…a848backed Yes64c264.99$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.916750.9%85 W · 82 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ba3…317ebacked Yes45c262.16$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.9730%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x473d…caabbacked Yes57c249.46$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.382161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+90%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ccb…6e97backed No59c249.4$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.121163.6%7 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes71c248.25$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.871,46748%704 W · 763 L+3.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed No31c242.91$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.9810360.2%62 W · 41 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cfd…ca1bbacked Yes40c241$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No31c240.97$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.2712437.9%47 W · 77 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6070…88a8backed No12c230.89$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.312123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No45c215.55$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.5198653.2%525 W · 461 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No30c215.26$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.6854650.4%275 W · 271 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Yes45c214.89$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b11…6f75backed Yes69c213.35$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.211457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick70cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef5c…6ababacked No58c210.87$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.341478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.