Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x510a4f385c40e22aac296dd58c64770b7a1e47e662058d98d9638dedb892c260
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,303
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,859
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,303 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 10c | 5,116$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.74 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 7c | 4,111$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.41 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Yes | 5c | 3,783$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.6 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 9c | 2,748$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.87 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Yes | 6c | 2,000$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…6f93backed Yes | 3c | 1,978$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.39 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 5c | 900.59$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 10c | 781.14$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.08 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…2c03backed Yes | 13c | 729.08$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.78 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92fb…09d0backed Yes | 8c | 598.29$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f7…b466backed Yes | 7c | 404.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes | 7c | 298.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 5c | 281.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 13c | 258.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1d…2e6abacked Yes | 10c | 242.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Yes | 10c | 242.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Yes | 10c | 231.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…9182backed Yes | 11c | 223.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Yes | 10c | 219.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 10c | 219.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5578…f06cbacked Yes | 7c | 215.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Yes | 10c | 201.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Yes | 10c | 195.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e14…82a5backed Yes | 11c | 189.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Yes | 10c | 171.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 9c | 149.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Yes | 10c | 146.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked Yes | 10c | 128.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Yes | 10c | 127.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 10c | 125.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…2a61backed Yes | 10c | 111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 10c | 108$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 136 | 28.7%39 W · 97 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will FC Porto vs. FC Famalicão end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.