Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Porto vs. FC Famalicão end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc82a8220cca51036977ed2b0de939d5b6ea95cec85cc908c2ace70c1dd9f4213
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,919
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 48c | 11,169$5,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,327.03 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 52c | 6,946$3,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,351.45 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 39c | 6,283$2,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,455.05 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Yes | 73c | 6,121$4,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.57 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 36c | 3,809$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.87 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 3c | 2,650$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,582.56 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 5c | 1,865$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.88 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed No | 4c | 1,754$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.12 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 36c | 1,151$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.59 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…c249backed Yes | 6c | 660.09$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +975.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 79c | 650.03$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.95 | 153 | 71.9%110 W · 43 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 34c | 543.02$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.56 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x80aa…e8eabacked No | 5c | 524.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Yes | 4c | 484.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.75 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Yes | 55c | 484.55$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.93 | 28 | 89.3%25 W · 3 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 38c | 477.92$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.78 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcca9…af95backed No | 5c | 407.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…145cbacked No | 80c | 364.33$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 80c | 345.21$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.12 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fca…819abacked Yes | 52c | 296.96$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.54 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked No | 38c | 253.37$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked Yes | 54c | 229.81$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.81 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 37c | 216.92$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.87 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 26c | 216.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.42 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked No | 16c | 205.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 51c | 203.79$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.13 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…684dbacked Yes | 59c | 198.39$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Yes | 20c | 190.4$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.32 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7f…9da6backed Yes | 21c | 184.22$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 20c | 180$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Yes | 55c | 171.6$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed No | 26c | 160$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…7e76backed Yes | 71c | 158.5$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.4 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Yes | 56c | 158.47$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.51 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 46c | 156.16$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.59 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 70c | 152.25$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 135 | 73.3%99 W · 36 L | +24.7wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked No | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…6599backed No | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 20c | 142.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.24 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked No | 59c | 138.12$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.44 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 19c | 136.18$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.07 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked No | 43c | 115.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked No | 42c | 114.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed No | 21c | 101.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 66c | 97.27$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.15 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 20c | 95.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.16 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…b994backed Yes | 21c | 90.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 43c | 89.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 80c | 88.5$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Yes | 68c | 88.47$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 64c | 88.26$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8794…a22cbacked Yes | 70c | 67.17$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb6…ef3abacked Yes | 47c | 61.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 38c | 58.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 20c | 57.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.96 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked No | 40c | 55.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed Yes | 72c | 54.62$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…d1b0backed No | 27c | 53.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74e3…242cbacked No | 33c | 52.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 21c | 52.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 36c | 52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes | 24c | 49.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20c…bf55backed No | 34c | 43.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 62c | 43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685b…cca8backed Yes | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 65c | 41.96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc00c…5fe1backed Yes | 74c | 33.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked No | 34c | 32.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 80c | 30.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 80c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 74c | 26.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed Yes | 68c | 22.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…e04dbacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 67cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Porto vs. FC Famalicão end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-04-04?No won
- Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.